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NY-23: Can Doug Hoffman Win?
Washington Post ^ | October 20, 2009 | Chris Cillizza

Posted on 10/20/2009 3:01:42 PM PDT by cc2k

<snip> Conventional wisdom suggests that while the North Country seat leans to Republicans in terms of registration -- as of April 2009 there were roughly 46,000 more GOPers than Democrats in the district -- there are simply not enough Republicans to split the base vote between Hoffman and Scozzafava and have either one win. (The district has long been represented by a Republican but President Obama carried it with 52 percent in 2008.)

But, Hoffman allies insist that the proper lens through which to look at the race is the conservative/liberal one. By that measure, there is one conservative running and two liberals. Hoffman supporters insist that if the candidate and the Club can make that case effectively, that there are enough conservative voters to hand him a surprise victory.

What all sides seem to agree on is that Scozzafava is fading -- whether slightly or badly depends on which candidate you support -- due largely to her inability to raise enough money to defend herself from attacks from the right (from Hoffman/Club) and the left (from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

(Excerpt) Read more at voices.washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: hoffman; ny23
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Comment #1 Removed by Moderator

To: cc2k

No. He can only divert enough votes to win the election for the Democrats.

Not that it makes any difference with a candidate like Scozzafava. She might as well be a Democrat. Conservatives should vote their consciences.


2 posted on 10/20/2009 3:06:55 PM PDT by Little Ray (Obama is a kamikaze president aimed at the heart of this Republic.)
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To: cc2k

I assume there is no run-off provision and a plurality will get you in. Am I wrong? If there is a run-off, I would feel pretty good about our guy getting in.


3 posted on 10/20/2009 3:07:22 PM PDT by San Jacinto
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To: cc2k

No more RINOS!!


4 posted on 10/20/2009 3:08:56 PM PDT by Jim Robinson (Follow me on Twitter: http://twitter.com/jimrobfr)
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To: Little Ray

>> He can only divert enough votes to win the election for the Democrats <<

True. But that’s probably a good thing in this case. Let’s send Dede packing once and forall. The ‘Pubs can then take the district back in 2010 with a decently conservative candidate.


5 posted on 10/20/2009 3:15:22 PM PDT by Hawthorn
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To: cc2k
Last year, McHugh, a conservative who is very close to Hoffman on the issues, carried this district with 65% of the vote.

McHugh a conservative? HA!

McHugh is a liberal "Republican" who quit his Congressional seat to go work for Barack Obama. He has an abysmal 68% rating from the Chamber of Commerce, voted for Cap & Trade, strongly opposes vouchers, voted to limit restrictions on Castro's Cuba, voted to expand the SCHIP health care entitlement, etc.

McHugh is so liberal he couldn't get elected as a Democrat in half the country.

6 posted on 10/20/2009 3:20:51 PM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: Hawthorn

I agree. I have sent money to Hoffman and will send more in a week. We need to send a massage to the RNC. No RINO candidates. Like was said above we will get it back in 2010.


7 posted on 10/20/2009 3:23:08 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: cc2k

“due largely to her inability to raise money” because she has no supporters. Face it, she has no base. The conservatives who do the grunt work for the GOP are not on her side.


8 posted on 10/20/2009 3:27:44 PM PDT by GeronL (They Made It Happen On Purpose Economically. MIHOPE)
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To: Little Ray

Just sent in a contribution. To hell with Rinos—voting anti democrat is not working...


9 posted on 10/20/2009 3:28:12 PM PDT by richardtavor
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To: cc2k

There is nothing to be gained for conservatives in this race.


10 posted on 10/20/2009 3:38:26 PM PDT by Dan Middleton
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To: cc2k

Listening to Hannity he has come out in support of Hoffman. He had Newt on yesterday and I was hoping he would ask him why he was supporting the RINO.


11 posted on 10/20/2009 3:41:54 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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Comment #12 Removed by Moderator

To: Parley Baer

Hannity won’t rock Newt’s boat...who would he have left for guests on his show?


13 posted on 10/20/2009 3:43:41 PM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: cc2k

I voted for Schwarzenegger rather than Tom McClintock because he was more ‘electable’. Despite promising to never do so I voted for John McCain because that is who the RNC gave us. I have been ashamed of both votes and encourage those in New York to vote their political philosophy. I hope to do so in the future.

Jeri Thompson on Neil Cavuto today, “This isn’t about party, its about our country.”


14 posted on 10/20/2009 3:47:48 PM PDT by rbbeachkid (The ONLY ones able to fix the economy - Small Business Owners!)
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To: rbbeachkid

I went with McClintock, but Schwarzie turned out to be worse than I thought he’d be. I voted for Sarah Palin. There was someone else also on the ticket, older fella, I seem to recall he was a military veteran...


15 posted on 10/20/2009 3:54:42 PM PDT by karnage (worn arguments and old attitudes)
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To: karnage

I am off to meet Jane Harmon’s opponent for next year. Hope he has good answers.


16 posted on 10/20/2009 4:01:55 PM PDT by rbbeachkid (The ONLY ones able to fix the economy - Small Business Owners!)
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To: cc2k
How did McHugh vote on Cap and Trade?

How did he vote on the children's health insurance entitlement?

I understand that a few Republicans voted for those leftist abominations. But I refuse to call those Republicans "conservatives." McHugh recognized that his true calling lies in the Obama Administration, which is where he now works.

Republican? Yes. Conservative? Hell no.

17 posted on 10/20/2009 4:04:14 PM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: cc2k

McHugh has a 71.55 ACU lifetime rating, but his ratings for 2008 and 2007 were 40 and 60 respectively. Some conservative. I hope Hoffman will be better than that.


18 posted on 10/20/2009 4:17:18 PM PDT by kabar
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Comment #19 Removed by Moderator

To: San Jacinto

No run-off; no primary, either.


20 posted on 10/20/2009 4:57:39 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he will protect you?)
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