Nice try, but you are wrong. In 2004, 37% of the final vote was Democrats and 37% was Republicans. Despite the Democrat's edge in registration, Republicans equaled their number in turnout. Why shouldn't that happen again this year?
Well, I hope you are right. I have been getting emails from friends of mine that have never voted Democrat and are voting Obama. My mom, a lifelong Republican in Colorado (just damn), also voting Obama.
Again, I hope you guys are right, but I don’t think it looks very good. I also think there are more Democrats then Republicans. All you have to do is look at the state numbers of registered voters. The Dems have about a 7 point registration advantage.