If McCain flips Pennsylvania (which he might with this coal story), gets Ohio and Florida plus holds on to North Carolina... he gets up to 268 electoral votes (and I think that’s where he’s at right now). If he can pull off a victory in Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, or New Mexico he wins... or maybe a surprise win in New Hampshire. (He can also tie it up with one electoral vote in Maine, which I hope doesn’t happen because that would be a nightmare.)
I think you’re right on... He will flip PA, hold onto OH and FL, lose VA, CO, NV and NM.
And the great state of NH will once again come through for MAC.
That’s 272 and the win.
I don't think that the people in “coal” were going to vote for Obama anyway...they already decided to vote for McCain because of Obama’s guns, God statement plus slamming small town folks. I don't think the coal statement will change too many minds that already were for McCain anyway. Now for Pennsylvania...I would not even bet a dollar on this state (which is mine)....it could go either way. I remember in 2000 it was so disappointing that Pennsylvania went for gore because George W thought he had it. Plus I know Governor Ridge was so embarrassed by the loss. However, Ridge was still picked for Homeland Security in 2003 so I guess President Bush understood. lol.