If McCain nails FL, VA. NC, OH, MO, GA and then PA then it is over. McCain will get the South.
Obama thinks he is winning NM and NV but from what many have heard on the ground he should lose those states.
Obama got 32% of the vote in FL in the primary. This means 68% of Democrats voted against him.
He lost badly in other states like PA. He staggered across the line at the end. Hillary was surging and would have won if Obama/ACORN had not rigged some caucases. Hillary voters have not forgotten.
This election is down to OH, VA, NV and CO. With OH and VA I have to believe tilted toward us (McCain)....and likely NV as well.... CO looks like trouble (and could put Obama over the top).
PA is the only blue State McCain has a shot at....at it is a very distant shot by all measures....Even Obama's latest internals show them not to be too concerned over PA (and they have history on their side....not to mention the last 50 polls out of PA ...of course these are slanted DEM....but the law of averages says not all 50 can be that wrong)...
If McCain holds OH, VA, NV and CO....We win. We are going to hold FL and NC without much trouble.