I’ve got a meeting to go to, so I’ll post the pre-debate Intrade prices a little bit early.
Front page of Intrade, # of State Electoral Votes
174 McCain to 364 Obama
2008 Presidential Election Winner (Individual)
Contract 2008.PRES.OBAMA
Barack Obama to win 2008 US Presidential Election M Trade
Bid Ask Last Vol
82.4 82.5 82.3 972018
2008.PRES.McCAIN
John McCain to win 2008 US Presidential Election M Trade
Bid Ask Last Vol
17.4 17.5 17.4 1002484
2008 Presidential Election Winner (Political Party)
Contract PRESIDENT.DEM2008
Democratic Party Candidate to Win 2008 Presidential
Election M Trade
Bid Ask Last Vol
82.4 83.9 82.4 138165
PRESIDENT.REP2008
Republican Party Candidate to Win 2008 Presidential Election M Trade
Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
17.2 17.9 18.5 132565
Here’s the post debate Intrade snapshot with the deltas. Basically Obama shows as the clear winner with a 4.6 point swing in his favor on the individual pres contract.
Front page of Intrade, # of State Electoral Votes
174 McCain to 364 Obama
***No change
2008 Presidential Election Winner (Individual)
Contract 2008.PRES.OBAMA
Barack Obama to win 2008 US Presidential Election M Trade
Last Vol Change
83.4 976649 +1.1 on 4631 volume
2008.PRES.McCAIN
John McCain to win 2008 US Presidential Election M Trade
Last Vol Change
16.5 1011820 -0.9 on 9336 Volume
2008 Presidential Election Winner (Political Party)
Contract PRESIDENT.DEM2008
Democratic Party Candidate to Win 2008 Presidential Election M Trade
Last Vol Change
86.1 139789 +3.7 on 1174 volume
PRESIDENT.REP2008
Republican Party Candidate to Win 2008 Presidential Election M Trade
Last Vol Change
17.0 132986 -1.5 on 421 volume