Skip to comments.Internal Obama Poll Reports He Is Up By 2 In Pennsylvania
Posted on 10/14/2008 2:58:15 PM PDT by Born ConservativeEdited on 10/14/2008 5:44:49 PM PDT by Sidebar Moderator. [history]
Steve Corbett, a radio talk show host in Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, received a copy of an internal email sent by Grant Olan who heads the Wilkes-Barre headquarters of the Obama campaign. The email went to 627 Obama campaign volunteers in the Wilkes-Barre Scranton region, saying that Obama Headquarters reported an internal poll which shows that Obama is only 2 points up in Pennsylvania.
Sean Smith, who is heading Obama's Pennsylvania campaign, was interviewed by Steve Corbett via phone at 5:35 today to discuss this. He said that Grant "went rogue", and aknowledged that Grant was "reprimanded" for this. Sean would not deny that the internal poll showed this, and his words were carefully chosen.
If its even on election day, McCain is leavin' him in the dust there.
Even worse, we're gonna have to put up with the posts around here about "He FINALLY took off the gloves!" or "The comeback kid!" or "The polls are tightening. Do you believe in miracles??"
After saying what I just posted, this too could be a setup to trick McPal to spend mega millions there instead of somewhere that more crucial. I hope the 2pointer is the truth. There are just so many questions as to why now, why let the cat out of the bag today? Sorry, but something stinks here.
Not to worry. Tomorrow I’m pretty sure Quinnipiac or ARG will trot out a poll showing Obama leading by 8 or 9 points.
he’s got a shot here.
Most people don’t know how to interpret a poll, and that includes virtually all reporters and pundits — even the conservative-friendly ones. Let’s face it. For most people, their eyes start to glaze over once you start talking about “internals,” “turnout,” “demographics,” and other such esoteric stuff. They are interested only in the top line.
I tear into every one of these polls because I want to find a single poll that actually shows Obama ahead by a statistically significant margin in a sample that actually reflects a representative sample of likely voters. I haven’t seen one yet. The only polls I’ve seen that favor Obama either do not publish their internals or are clearly oversampling Democrats based on actual exit poll data and realistic turnout models.
Rose, McCain and Palin were both in PA today. Palin was there twice over the weekend. They have spent a ton of time and money in PA already. They will continue to do so with or without this thread.
Then he is toast there because in the primaries Pennsylvania has one of the largest Bradley effects.
Yeah, but at least it isn’t 13!
Therefore, it's impossible for Obama to “trick” them.
thanks! you made me smile before I go home for the day!
Good data. After 1986, it really settled into a stable pattern, anywhere from R+1 to D+4. Any poll trying to sell us D+double digits is bogus.
Yeah, but at least it isnt 13!
Are you two a tag team?
I’ll be the first to agree that this could be a setup, or it very well could be legit. However, I doubt that the McCain campaign would invest so much time and money here without good reason.
I’m feeling optimistic after seeing this poll. One of my democrat co-workers has been on the fence. Today at lunch she told me she saw a report about ACORN and the voter fraud and said she’s definitely voting McCain. It’s amazing how much the average person DOESN’T know about Obama.
Bawhahahha...good one! We needed a laugh this was getting SERIES..:-]
Yeahhhhh, I wondered about that same thing! Even M. Reagan was all over the point spreads yesterday on his show. I was heartsick after I heard Michael!
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