Replies

To: TornadoAlley3; All; y'all; et al; no one in particular; Momaw Nadon

There’s now a contract on Intrade for determining the winner of the debate, via price differential.

So there doesn’t appear to be a point in generating the same kind of analyses I used to on other debates.

Current snapshot

Politics - Presidential Debates
Which candiate will benefit more from the second Presidential Debate?
Contract 2ND.DEBATE.OBAMA
Barack Obama’s Intrade value will increase more than John McCain’s following the 2nd Pres. Debate M Trade
Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
47.0 60.0 63.0 197 +3.0

Intrade Analysis: Palin wins Debate, Even in the Face of Blatant Manipulation Attempt
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2097178/posts

New Beta Real-Time Debate Tracking Page Launched. Live prices, chat and video during the Presidential Debates. http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/intradeTV/

247 posted on 10/07/2008 4:59:35 PM PDT by Kevmo (McCain's learning from Palin how to win a national election. Palin's learning from him how to lose 1)

Contract specific rules...

The pre-debate value of each candidate will be the volume weighted average price (VWAP) of all trades on 2008.PRES.OBAMA and 2008.PRES.McCAIN between 9:00am ET and 9:00pm ET on Tuesday October 7th (the twelves hours before the debate)

I’m posting at 7:38pm Pacific. That’s 10:38pm ET, more than 90 minutes after it’s supposed to expire.

Politics - Presidential Debates
Which candiate will benefit more from the second Presidential Debate?
Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
2ND.DEBATE.OBAMA
Barack Obama’s Intrade value will increase more than John McCain’s following the 2nd Pres. Debate M Trade 40.5 46.0 45.0 894 -15.0

4,759 posted on 10/07/2008 7:36:16 PM PDT by Kevmo (McCain's learning from Palin how to win a national election. Palin's learning from him how to lose 1)

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