if the national polls didn't move much the past few days, and there's nothing state-specific (I.e. -major scandal pops up), then the days-old polls are still relevant...
if you're looking at polls that were done right after the GOP convention, Sarah's announcement, etc, then you're looking at inflated polls...throw in the market turmoil, and the state polls might as well be months old- totally irrelevant...
As the phrase goes, a rising tide lifts all boats.. Unfortunately, it works the opposite way... If JM drops 5 points in the national polls, he's dropping 5 in each state, more or less, across the board
I know what I'm talking about...
At one time polling pools were skewed more DEMs that GOP. Is that still true. And what do you think about the Bradley effect? I could see some people thinking they have to say Obama for a variety of reasons but in the end pulling the lever for the more Conservative less risky candidate.
I was repeating the whine from the liberal media not claiming you don’t know what your talking about.