There was another GOP candidate in Georgia who has substantially outraised a Dem incumbent, but I don’t have it on the competitive races for the same reasons I don’t have Murtha’s seat listed. Those are majority Dem districts, Murtha’s especially was SPECIFICALLY tailor-made for him by the PA GOP legislature in order to make GOP seats elsewhere. That fortune would be better used against Altmire in the 4th with former incumbent Melissa Hart seeking a rematch. That IS a GOP district. As for the one in Georgia, that’s a Black Democrat district. Zero chance of our winning it, even if the GOP challenger raised $100 million.
I actually saw today, via a PA GOP E-mail, where Melissa Hart was within three points of Altmire. As you showed above, though, she’s trailing in money. However, she is helped by being very well known (held the seat until 06).
I’m curious as to your assessment of LA-06. That looks to be another serious GOP pick-up opportunity. (For those not familiar, the Pubbies lost this seat in a special election, but they now have a stronger contender [by most accounts] in a district Bush carried with 59% in ‘04.) I saw that it did not make your list of four most likely pick-ups.