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Rasmussen: Obama 51 - McCain 45 (from 49-46 yesterday)
Rasmussen ^ | 09/02/2008 | Rasmussen

Posted on 09/02/2008 6:40:33 AM PDT by ubaldus

Obama is up by 6 in today's Rasmussen tracker, by 5 without leaners (48 - 43). It is obviuos that McCain had a very bad polling day yesterday, something like 42-53 daily sample or even worse.

Some of it may be statistical noise, but it appears that all the noise around Palin selection is starting to hurt.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; 2008rncconvention; 2008veep; biden; electionpresident; mccain; mccainpalin; obama; palin; palinattacks
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To: Edit35
It worked on you and you have helped spread a false story.

The charge is from 20 years ago. MSM diggng up very old news. He was 22 years old. He was not a father of five at the time. You put it out there now for more to read MSM grabage.

121 posted on 09/02/2008 7:11:25 AM PDT by proud2beconservativeinNJ ("In God We Trust")
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To: Edit35
I respectfully disagree with your position regarding the loss of good will. The message being transmitted is that it is not OK to get pregnant at 17 and that the right thing to do, if it happens is not to kill the baby, but to marry the Father and keep the baby.

This is the message that incenses the left! Babies are for killing, in their eyes!

122 posted on 09/02/2008 7:11:56 AM PDT by Redleg Duke ("All gave some, and some gave all!")
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To: Shery

“These pollsters have been wrong before!”

Rasmussen called 2004 within 1 point for both Bush and Kerry. His final numbers were Bush 50.2, Kerry 48.5. The election result was Bush 50.7 Kerry 48.3. He also called all 24 state races that he polled in 2006 correctly.

This is the real state of the race right now. Obama got a bump out of his convention while it’s too early to see a GOP bump. So far, I say again, so far, Palin isn’t pulling the PUMAs.


123 posted on 09/02/2008 7:12:03 AM PDT by LadyNavyVet
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To: Hattie

McCain knew about the pregnancy, relax. There is no counter that is needed, the MSM leftists are attacking a 17 year old girl who has nothing to do with anything, this is a sure fire backfire among the voters that matter. Frankly I hope the leftist bloggers keep on going over the top frothing at the mouth.


124 posted on 09/02/2008 7:12:41 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: napscoordinator

I don’t think it’s about McCain. The drop is more because of Palin. Not all are sold on her. Not all are thrilled at her daughter’s pregnancy. Notice the only new news besides the hurricane is Sarah Palin’s daughter’s pregnancy. It has to be linked to that.


125 posted on 09/02/2008 7:13:11 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: johniegrad
should submit a letter of rebuttal to the editor.

Perhaps I will.

I never buy the newspaper anymore.

I was getting milk at my local convenience store when I glanced at the headline which had the phrase "recent"....

Believe me, I am overwhelmingly relieved that it's not ????

In fact, I was perplexed that the left wing wackadoodles didn't make more of this if it was "recent."

126 posted on 09/02/2008 7:13:34 AM PDT by Edit35 (.)
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To: syriacus

20 years ago. Palin was 22 years old.


127 posted on 09/02/2008 7:13:48 AM PDT by proud2beconservativeinNJ ("In God We Trust")
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To: syriacus

20 years ago. Palin was 22 years old.


128 posted on 09/02/2008 7:14:07 AM PDT by proud2beconservativeinNJ ("In God We Trust")
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To: hosepipe

One (possibly bad) poll result showing Obama 6 points up when he should be up 15 after his convention doesn’t say much. One day’s polling isn’t a trend. It could just be “noise,” as they call it. Before the Dem convention, if we had been told Obabma would only be up 6 immediately after, we would have been dancing in the streets.


129 posted on 09/02/2008 7:14:12 AM PDT by nailspitter
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To: ubaldus

Don’t be afraid of the Democrats and their fellow Democrats in the news media. They’re all reading from the same script. And they’re all insidious.


130 posted on 09/02/2008 7:14:48 AM PDT by popdonnelly (I'll tell you a little secret: we're smarter and more competent than the Left.)
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To: nmh

And all they have to do is make a 20 second ad with

Sarah’s statement about their family’s support for their daughter

vs

Obama’s “wouldn’t want my daughters punished with a baby”.

That is a stark contrast that would clear this thing right up.


131 posted on 09/02/2008 7:14:50 AM PDT by MrB (You can't reason people out of a position that they didn't use reason to get into in the first place)
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To: nmh
I don’t think it’s about McCain. The drop is more because of Palin. Not all are sold on her. Not all are thrilled at her daughter’s pregnancy. Notice the only new news besides the hurricane is Sarah Palin’s daughter’s pregnancy. It has to be linked to that.

Actually that is not so bad then because that can change once the disappointment is done and over.

132 posted on 09/02/2008 7:15:03 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: Sans-Culotte

Confirmed by who? The lawyer who vetted her said McCain knew, the McCain team says he knew..and the people of Alaska knew.


133 posted on 09/02/2008 7:15:25 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: proud2beconservativeinNJ

I agree. It “worked” on me, because I should not have simply transmitted the story without checking.

Here’s the link. I plan to raise a ruckus about the headline, and it might help if others do also.

http://www.trentonian.com/site/news.asp?brd=1697


134 posted on 09/02/2008 7:16:08 AM PDT by Edit35 (.)
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To: LadyNavyVet

>> Obama got a bump out of his convention while it’s too early to see a GOP bump. So far, I say again, so far, Palin isn’t pulling the PUMAs.

Convention bump (+3 in Ras) was evident by Friday. The second bump (from +3 to +6) is more likely Palin shifting some undecideds to Obama.

Of course, this is hardly conclusive - but plausible.


135 posted on 09/02/2008 7:16:34 AM PDT by ubaldus
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To: padre35
Right now, it seems like McCain made a mistake in picking Palin by not “knowing” about the pregnancy, Palin must dispell that perception, the sooner, the better.

McCain knew. It was an “open secret” in Alaska. Sarah did tell him. I'd bet ya many are cheering her on but inside they are disgusted. If the pregnancy thingie with her daughter didn’t pop up, they'd be more warm towards the idea of Sarah being a VP.

136 posted on 09/02/2008 7:17:01 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: TitansAFC
So I take it you want Palin to step down so Romney can step in, eh?

Roger that...
If McCain had chosen a guy with as thin a CV as Palin, we'd have thought he was nuts.
Romney was, and is my choice for VP.
O.K. start flamming...

137 posted on 09/02/2008 7:17:13 AM PDT by Riodacat (Legum servi sumus ut liberi esse possimus.)
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To: All

The polls measure reality. For there to be any chance at all now requires two things:

1) A strong convention

2) An opportunity for her to do what she was selected to do. That is win moderate women voters over. That’s not going to happen if every other minute of the day there is perpetual talk about what a right wing zealot she is wrt abortion. Abortion needs to be off the front page ASAP. It does NOT win moderate women. By definition, they don’t CARE about abortion in either direction. Bible thumping and screaming in their faces about how evil it is will just send them the other direction.


138 posted on 09/02/2008 7:17:16 AM PDT by Owen
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To: nailspitter
Nothing happened yesterday that would have given Obama a big bounce.

Uhmmm. Were you perhaps wrapped in cloth like a mummy and stuffed in a closet only to be let out this morning?

The "announcement" left many people thinking McCain did not know and many media members are trying to say this lacks good judgment. It will take awhile to dispel beliefs that this.

139 posted on 09/02/2008 7:17:16 AM PDT by Dave W
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To: nailspitter
We'll have to follow it and see if its statistical noise or if its a trend. The candidates internals tell them the real picture and you can guess where they are by where they campaign.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

140 posted on 09/02/2008 7:17:16 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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