Yup, that is what McNut is counting on. He has to know he'll lose about that same percentage from the GOP (Conservative) base.
After the primaries he is going to really dump on the Conservatives and court the independents and moderate Dims.
You forget the 30% or 40% of the democrats that are disgusted with their choices, and will vote for McCain.
_________________________________________________________
If Hillary is the nominee. Obama, we’ve got a problem maybe. Depends on whether the PC types with thier theories of racism below the surface in American society are right. I think the PC types are wrong — but the Clintons don’t or they wouldn’t have run this “look everybody, Obama is black” type of campaign. We’ll see . . . but if the Clintons and PC types are wrong . . . Obama will be tough for McCain to beat. We’d have a better chance against Obama with an ideological conservative that would attack him on the issues. Against Hillary, McCain will win.