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Russian scientist says Earth could soon face new Ice Age
Russian News & Information Agency ^

Posted on 01/23/2008 10:09:35 AM PST by Bulwinkle

ST. PETERSBURG, January 22 (RIA Novosti) - Temperatures on Earth have stabilized in the past decade, and the planet should brace itself for a new Ice Age rather than global warming, a Russian scientist said in an interview with RIA Novosti Tuesday.

"Russian and foreign research data confirm that global temperatures in 2007 were practically similar to those in 2006, and, in general, identical to 1998-2006 temperatures, which, basically, means that the Earth passed the peak of global warming in 1998-2005," said Khabibullo Abdusamatov, head of a space research lab at the Pulkovo observatory in St. Petersburg.

According to the scientist, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the Earth's atmosphere has risen more than 4% in the past decade, but global warming has practically stopped. It confirms the theory of "solar" impact on changes in the Earth's climate, because the amount of solar energy reaching the planet has drastically decreased during the same period, the scientist said.

Had global temperatures directly responded to concentrations of "greenhouse" gases in the atmosphere, they would have risen by at least 0.1 Celsius in the past ten years, however, it never happened, he said.

"A year ago, many meteorologists predicted that higher levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere would make the year 2007 the hottest in the last decade, but, fortunately, these predictions did not become reality," Abdusamatov said.

He also said that in 2008, global temperatures would drop slightly, rather than rise, due to unprecedentedly low solar radiation in the past 30 years, and would continue decreasing even if industrial emissions of carbon dioxide reach record levels.

By 2041, solar activity will reach its minimum according to a 200-year cycle, and a deep cooling period will hit the Earth approximately in 2055-2060. It will last for about 45-65 years, the scientist added.

"By the mid-21st century the planet will face another Little Ice Age, similar to the Maunder Minimum, because the amount of solar radiation hitting the Earth has been constantly decreasing since the 1990s and will reach its minimum approximately in 2041," he said.

The Maunder Minimum occurred between 1645 and 1715, when only about 50 spots appeared on the Sun, as opposed to the typical 40,000-50,000 spots.

It coincided with the middle and coldest part of the so called Little Ice Age, during which Europe and North America were subjected to bitterly cold winters.

"However, the thermal inertia of the world's oceans and seas will delay a 'deep cooling' of the planet, and the new Ice Age will begin sometime during 2055-2060, probably lasting for several decades," Abdusamatov said.

Therefore, the Earth must brace itself for a growing ice cap, rather than rising waters in global oceans caused by ice melting.

Mankind will face serious economic, social, and demographic consequences of the coming Ice Age because it will directly affect more than 80% of the earth's population, the scientist concluded.

http://en.rian.ru/science/20080122/97519953.html


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: agw; global; globalwarming
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1 posted on 01/23/2008 10:09:37 AM PST by Bulwinkle
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To: Bulwinkle

Well we have a Socialist here in the USA that says just the opposite!


2 posted on 01/23/2008 10:11:32 AM PST by Dixie Yooper (Ephesians 6:11)
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To: Bulwinkle

This is actually decently correct for weather prediction.


3 posted on 01/23/2008 10:11:49 AM PST by RightWhale (Repeal the law of the excluded middle)
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To: Bulwinkle

This guy will probably have a terminal accident soon.


4 posted on 01/23/2008 10:12:03 AM PST by Old Retired Army Guy (tHE)
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To: Bulwinkle

Don’t tell the RINOs running for president, they all believe in global warming as much as Algore.


5 posted on 01/23/2008 10:12:04 AM PST by pissant (Duncan Hunter: Warrior, Statesman, Conservative)
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To: Bulwinkle

Ok, what’s it going to be boiling to death or freezing to death??? Gore is NOT going to like this!


6 posted on 01/23/2008 10:12:09 AM PST by Jewels1091
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To: Bulwinkle
I am no scientist, but deciding we are heading for an ice age based upon any 10-year analysis seems as ludicrous as using the same period to arrive at the global warming hysteria. Don’t these patterns take hundreds, if not thousands, of years before they have any weight?
7 posted on 01/23/2008 10:12:54 AM PST by Heartland Mom (Build the fence, secure our borders, deport illegals - Protect our sovereignty!)
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To: Bulwinkle

How do you brace for an ice age? Put on a warm coat and wait?


8 posted on 01/23/2008 10:12:56 AM PST by Question Liberal Authority (Carbon Dioxide is NOT POLLUTION. It is PLANT FOOD, necessary for all life on Earth.)
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To: Bulwinkle

DAMN that global warming for bringing on the next Ice Age!


9 posted on 01/23/2008 10:13:20 AM PST by Just another Joe (Warning: FReeping can be addictive and helpful to your mental health)
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To: Bulwinkle

No, I am not going to deal with any damn Ice Age. This cannot occur. I want my global warming. Mr. Gore specifically promised me global warming, and I have been looking forward to it since late October. I feel so cheated.


10 posted on 01/23/2008 10:13:28 AM PST by ottbmare
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To: Bulwinkle

Al Gore stated that the Earth was confused by difficult to read thermometers and has demanded a recount.


11 posted on 01/23/2008 10:13:35 AM PST by irv
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To: Bulwinkle

I thought we were globally warming, but now we’re doomed to glacial extinction. I am just so confused (but I probably understand climate as much as these so-called experts).


12 posted on 01/23/2008 10:13:37 AM PST by Jedidah
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To: Bulwinkle

Pre 1972

The earth is cooling. All is lost..

Post 1972

The earth is warming. All is lost...

Post 2009

The earth is cooling. All is lost...

Cars are causing the cooling. Cars are causing the warming. Cars are causing the colling...

Power plants are cooling the planet. Power plants are warming the planet. Power plants are colling the panet...

Get the popcorn Mertyl. They’re at it again.


13 posted on 01/23/2008 10:13:47 AM PST by DoughtyOne (< fence >< sound immigration policies >< /weasles >< /RINOs >< /Reagan wannabees that are liberal >)
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To: Bulwinkle

Yes, if Iran is not prevented from acquiring nuclear weapons, we’re looking at a nuclear winter in about 30 years.


14 posted on 01/23/2008 10:14:10 AM PST by rjp2005 (Lord have mercy on us)
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To: DoughtyOne

LOL, where did that colling come from? TWICE!!!!

cooling


15 posted on 01/23/2008 10:14:36 AM PST by DoughtyOne (< fence >< sound immigration policies >< /weasles >< /RINOs >< /Reagan wannabees that are liberal >)
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To: Bulwinkle

16 posted on 01/23/2008 10:14:45 AM PST by CougarGA7 (Wisdom comes with age, but sometimes age comes alone.)
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To: Bulwinkle

Buy beach front property and watch it expand!


17 posted on 01/23/2008 10:14:49 AM PST by Always Right (Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?)
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To: DoughtyOne

Attention: Al Gore, please pick up the courtesy phone.


18 posted on 01/23/2008 10:15:02 AM PST by stocksthatgoup (Number1FredHeadSwitch2Mitt)
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To: Bulwinkle

If The Glacier wins the Democrat Nomination and then the Presidency there will indeed be a new Ice Age.


19 posted on 01/23/2008 10:15:04 AM PST by elizabetty ("Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm." .Ralph Waldo Emerson)
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To: Bulwinkle

Oh no...you've called down his wrath!

20 posted on 01/23/2008 10:15:10 AM PST by Gator101 (Don't tase me, Bro!)
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