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To: Forgiven_Sinner

Your predictions look more like wishful thinking than logic.

After Fred’s people put a major effort into Iowa (for some incomprehensible reason) he needed at least a strong third. He got a weak third. South Carolina was his ‘must win’ state, and he looks like he won’t even make it into 2nd. That will be followed by a likely 4th in Florida. I can’t see his current campaign team producing the results needed.

Rudy may still pull it out in Florida, but I’m not counting McCain out yet there. He will appeal to a lot of vets. There are a lot of evangelicals in North Florida and the Panhandle, so Huck’s going to be strong there as well, but it looks like Mitt is probably going to run strong there as well, and will probably push Huck into 4th place.

So, coming out of Fla, the front runners are going to be McCain and Huck. Mitt, Fred, and Rudy are going to be the second tier guys, and will probably drop out in that order. (Rudy’s going to be able to keep tapping the liberal money, and conservatives will support Fred as long as they can.)


14 posted on 01/19/2008 6:54:41 AM PST by PAR35
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To: PAR35

“Your predictions look more like wishful thinking than logic.”

No doubt my predictions are influenced by being a Fred supporter!

“After Fred’s people put a major effort into Iowa (for some incomprehensible reason) he needed at least a strong third. He got a weak third. South Carolina was his ‘must win’ state, and he looks like he won’t even make it into 2nd. That will be followed by a likely 4th in Florida. I can’t see his current campaign team producing the results needed.”

Based on current trends, you’re right. However, the current state will not continue. Candidates will run out of money and hope. The most important thing, in my opinion, is who lasts the longest.


20 posted on 01/19/2008 7:02:19 AM PST by Forgiven_Sinner (For God so loved the world, that He gave His only Son that whosoever believes in Him should not die)
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