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A cold spell soon to replace global warming
RIA Novosti ^
| 1/03/2008
| Dr. Oleg Sorokhtin
Posted on 01/03/2008 6:04:59 PM PST by sionnsar
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To: Islander7
If a planet has a fever, it is sure to have chills too.
If a planet has a fever it needs MORE COW BELL!
21
posted on
01/03/2008 8:22:33 PM PST
by
Grizzled Bear
("Does not play well with others.")
To: G8 Diplomat
First it was the coming ice age, then it was global warming, now were back to the coming ice age... And it the same coming ice age, based on the same effects. Only we know even more about them now than we did before.
It's coming, the Big One, not just "Hans Brinker and the Silver Skates"(Ice on the Dutch canal networks) But a real Ice Age, big glaciers of the sort that gave us the prairie potholes and the Great Lakes. How soon? Well we're overdue already, but any millennium now, maybe any century.
(The appearance of more, "high frequency" variation in more recent data is due to higher sampling rate, that is more closely spaced samples)
22
posted on
01/03/2008 9:34:18 PM PST
by
El Gato
("The Second Amendment is the RESET button of the United States Constitution." -- Doug McKay)
To: familyop
It will continue to get warmer. And well live with it, because were not causing it and cant stop it. We can't stop it, but it's not *just* warming. See graph in Post 22
23
posted on
01/03/2008 9:36:52 PM PST
by
El Gato
("The Second Amendment is the RESET button of the United States Constitution." -- Doug McKay)
To: sionnsar
This author is in touch with reality.
24
posted on
01/03/2008 9:38:23 PM PST
by
devere
To: Defendingliberty; WL-law; Normandy
"Hot Air Cult" ~~Anthropogenic Global Warming ping~~
To: El Gato
"We can't stop it, but it's not *just* warming. See graph in Post 22"
Good! I like to hike up and down the peaks to snowboard in arctic weather. ...was doing some backcountry boarding a few days ago and was toasty warm even under cheap gear. In past recent years, it usually briefly hit lower than -20F some mornings near solstice at this altitude (high). And although most of the winter has been like summer here, it's great to not have other people around. At noon, one can even lay in front of a window to catch the low sun for sunbathing indoors (20 minutes or so for plenty of vitamin D).
I wish that an ice age would come quickly, as a new glacier in the back yard for four-wheeling and boarding would be wonderful (as would seeing all the weirdo greenies go away), but I fear that it won't happen soon. ...will have to settle for watching the multitudes of new bear (from the warming so far) eat the greenies next fall.
26
posted on
01/03/2008 9:51:28 PM PST
by
familyop
("Abandon all hope, ye who enter here" --Dante Alighieri, another Roman architect of hell)
To: G8 Diplomat
-Global cooling is probably still a few years off, based on the solar cycle 24 predictions, which is predicted to peak in 2010. Unfortunately, this gives the AGW proponents a few more years to blather on:
27
posted on
01/03/2008 10:48:13 PM PST
by
FBD
(My carbon footprint is bigger then yours)
To: FBD
“Unfortunately, this gives the AGW proponents a few more years to blather on:”
AND - the opportunity to say “see how right we were and how well we have saved the planet” (and just in time for another election year too!)
28
posted on
01/03/2008 10:55:06 PM PST
by
geopyg
(Don't wish for peace, pray for Victory. ------ www.gohunter08.com ------)
To: sionnsar; All
A mocking, tongue-in-cheek summary of "the coming ice age," err, "Y2K," err, "global warming," err, "climate change," Yeah! That's right! What we used to call, "Having Weather..."
And, in the "Well, Duh!" department...
29
posted on
01/04/2008 1:56:33 AM PST
by
backhoe
(Just a Merry-Hearted Keyboard PirateBoy, plunderin’ his way across the WWW…)
To: sionnsar
Notice that this scientist has stated that temperature changes run ahead of carbon dioxide fluctuations. A number of scientists have pointed that out.
To: sionnsar
What he's saying folks is the Greenhouse Effect is false.
Great article by a scientist showing integrity in the face of pervasive corruption. However, as is often the case now this conclusion was cited and posted on FR 2 weeks ago. [/shameless self-promotion].
31
posted on
01/04/2008 4:08:00 AM PST
by
Justa
(Politically Correct is morally wrong.)
To: geopyg
excellant point, and one I’m sure the AGW proponents will use.
32
posted on
01/04/2008 7:30:00 AM PST
by
FBD
(My carbon footprint is bigger then yours)
To: El Gato
We are still in a Ice Age.
Our current time is considered as an Interglacial Warm Period; that is, the world still has major Ice Sheets but they are not advancing or covering up a large portion of North America or Europe.
What the Gorebal Warming shills never mention is that for many millions of year’s the Earth had no Ice Sheets. I guess they will blame that on Dinosaur farts.
33
posted on
01/04/2008 7:42:47 AM PST
by
ohioman
To: familyop
Warm weather is not a bad thing. I know because this Island of Maui is loaded with tourist every winter. People mostly from the northern states and Canada. Proof that cold is not very popular.
34
posted on
01/04/2008 7:50:14 AM PST
by
fish hawk
(The religion of Darwinism = Monkey Intellect)
To: FBD
35
posted on
01/04/2008 10:42:16 AM PST
by
Freep EE
To: sionnsar
Notice the dates, 2014 and 2041; the very same as the deadlines in the massive climate-change induced rush to legislation.
In both cases the dates are tantalizingly close to observational proof but the warmers don’t want to take a chance, so they must strike now, while the iron is “hot.”
More and more, it seems like we’re getting hosed.
36
posted on
01/04/2008 10:53:28 AM PST
by
Old Professer
(The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
To: umgud
No more than the interregnum causes wars.
37
posted on
01/04/2008 10:55:00 AM PST
by
Old Professer
(The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
That conclusion precludes the absence of the previous periods having experienced any such mitigation to disrupt perfect cycles; were they all of equal duration?
38
posted on
01/04/2008 10:58:36 AM PST
by
Old Professer
(The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
To: Old Professer
Your query prompted me to dig for citations.
The hypothesis of a delayed ice age was set out in a Scientific American article by William F. Ruddiman. Here's a link:
http://sciamdigital.com/index.cfm?fa=Products.ViewIssuePreview&ARTICLEID_CHAR=F9374686-2B35-221B-635B1D2A02A8B6D5
And another (whole article, minus graphs, for free):
http://www.atmos.ucla.edu/~liougst/Lecture/Ruddiman_SciAm_2005.pdf
Ruddiman has also written a book, which I haven't read, but is probably worth going to the library for. Here's a link:
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0691133980?ie=UTF8&tag=hatrackriver&link_code=em1&camp=212341&creative=384065&creativeASIN=0691133980&adid=61d4947b-1aaf-4899-94da-5a7191ecc309
Ruddiman's thesis is that humans have been altering the climate for at least 8,000 years -- and that's a
good thing.
There were some compelling graphs in Ruddiman's SciAm article, which I haven't been able to find. Here's a substitute that shows that the answer to your question is "No" -- or more precisely, we've been enjoying a prolonged plateau in the cycle, which (according to Ruddiman) should have dipped into glaciation thousands of years ago.
Here's a quote from Ruddiman's SciAm article:
"My findings add a new wrinkle to each scenario. If anything, such forecasts of an "impending" ice age were actually understated: new ice sheets should have begun to grow several millennia ago. The ice failed to grow because human-induced global warming actually began far earlier than previously thought--well before the industrial era.
In these kinds of hotly contested topics that touch on public policy, scientific results are often used for opposing ends. Global-warming skeptics could cite my work as evidence that human-generated greenhouse gases played a beneficial role for several thousand years by keeping the earth's climate more hospitable than it would otherwise have been. Others might counter that if so few humans with relatively primitive technologies were able to alter the course of climate so significantly, then we have reason to be concerned about the current rise of greenhouse gases to unparalleled concentrations at unprecedented rates.
The rapid warming of the past century is probably destined to persist for at least 200 years, until the economically accessible fossil fuels become scarce. Once that happens, the earth's climate should begin to cool gradually as the deep ocean slowly absorbs the pulse of excess CO2 from human activities. Whether global climate will cool enough to produce the long-overdue glaciation or remain warm enough to avoid that fate is impossible to predict.
To: sionnsar
What the “climate change” movement is really all about:
Madeline Albright once stated that mankind would be better off if the USA was not a superpower. (paraphrasing, does anyway have the exact quote?)
Many truly believe that the leading deterent to world peace is the USA. These people long for the USA to be “equal” to all the other socialist nations.
The United States cannot be defeated militarily. The “climate change” movement is only one way they are attacking Capitalism, American business and the American economy.
They are right about one thing. The United States of America is the greatest threat to world peace. America saved mankind from tryanny three times during the 20th century.
If not for the USA, the entire world would be lost to tyranny and then there would be world peace. As long as there are Free nations there will be war against dictators and tyrants or there will be no Free nations.
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