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Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll (Romney keeps second place, Thompson ties for last among frontrunners)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 27 November 2007 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 11/27/2007 8:16:39 AM PST by Spiff

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Rudy Giuliani leading the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination with Mitt Romney now in second place nationally. Giuliani attracts 23% support from Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide while Romney attracts 15%. Mike Huckabee is the top choice for 13% while Fred Thompson and John McCain each earn 12% support. Ron Paul's is at 5% and no other Republican candidate reaches 2% (see recent daily numbers).

There is little change in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Hillary Clinton attracts 41% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters nationwide while Barack Obama earns the vote from 17%. John Edwards is the choice for 13%. Bill Richardson is supported by 5%, Joe Biden by 4%, and no other Democratic candidate tops 3% (see recent daily numbers).

Results for the Presidential Tracking Poll are obtained through nightly telephone interviews and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Rasmussen Reports did not conduct survey interviews over the Thanksgiving holiday weekend. As a result, roughly one-fourth of the interviews for today’s update were completed on Monday night and the rest were completed before Thanksgiving. Friday will be the first update based entirely on interviews conducted following the holiday weekend. Saturday will be the start of regular weekend updates and the Presidential Tracking Poll will now be updated seven-days-a-week.

Rasmussen Reports will release new polling data for Iowa and New Hampshire this week. Currently, Romney leads all Republicans in both Iowa and New Hampshire. Thompson and Romney are tied for the lead in South Carolina while Giuliani remains on top in Florida’s Republican Primary.

Among Democrats, the race in Iowa is very competitive between Clinton, Obama, and Edwards. Clinton has a ten-point lead over Obama in both New Hampshire and South Carolina. She also retains a twenty-five point lead over Obama in Florida.

The Rasmussen Reports Election 2008 Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily, Monday through Friday. The Presidential Tracking Poll will be updated seven days a week beginning Saturday, December 1, 2007. Daily results are based upon a four day rolling average and new results are posted each day by noon Eastern.

Daily tracking results are from survey interviews conducted over four days ending last night. Each update includes approximately 750 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 600 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Rasmussen Reports provides a weekly analysis of both the Republican and Democratic race each Monday.

Each Monday, full week results are released based upon a seven-day rolling average. While the daily tracking result are useful for measuring quick reaction to events in the news, the full week results provide an effective means for evaluating longer-term trends.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; fredthompson; giuliani; huckabee; mittromney; poll; rasmussen; romney; thompson
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To: teddyballgame; All
Well at least you finally admit you don’t care if he is a Conservative or not...

I guess that is something...

21 posted on 11/27/2007 8:42:12 AM PST by ejonesie22 (Mitt Romney, like curing cancer with a coronary...)
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To: ejonesie22

Just as long as his poll numbers don’t go down. Or sink to Fred’s level.

There. Needed to ammend it.


22 posted on 11/27/2007 8:43:32 AM PST by teddyballgame (red man in a blue state)
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To: teddyballgame
Doesn’t change the fact you don’t care if Mitt’s a conservative as long as he had good poll numbers...

Nice try there Teddy.

Glad you are looking out for the good of the Country...

23 posted on 11/27/2007 8:46:39 AM PST by ejonesie22 (Mitt Romney, like curing cancer with a coronary...)
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To: Spiff

After the frontrunner Giuliani, the four remaining frontrunners are tied within the margin of error.

Your headline is another of your lies.


24 posted on 11/27/2007 8:47:49 AM PST by Petronski (Reject the liberal troika: romney, giuliani, mccain)
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To: Petronski; Spiff; All
You give him too much credit.

He just doesn’t understand polls.

But he does make pretty graphs.

Sad so much effort is being put out trying to pimp a RINO/Lib on the number one Conservative site on the web.

If only Spiff put that much love into feeding the poor.

At least then the effort would be for something worthwhile...

25 posted on 11/27/2007 8:51:37 AM PST by ejonesie22 (Mitt Romney, like curing cancer with a coronary...)
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To: RockinRight
Fred’s tied for third, second with the margin of error, nice spin, Spiff.

That's not spin, RnR, it's a lie.

26 posted on 11/27/2007 8:51:52 AM PST by Petronski (Reject the liberal troika: romney, giuliani, mccain)
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To: ejonesie22; Spiff; Names Ash Housewares; FastCoyote; trisham; JRochelle
LOL, I LOVE Spiff's comment: "Romney retains and strengthens his 2nd place position as Thompson dives to a tie for last place among the 5 frontrunner candidates."

A 3% point difference indicates Mitt's "strengthening" his lead....Mitt was at 17% on November 14, from Spiff's own chart.

"The increase in support expected after Thompson was endorsed by the NRLC has failed to materialize."...after post after post has commented that the NRLC's value lies in the grass roots support they bring to Fred.

As to the comments about Fred's polls going down....take a look at the chart again...Mitt's have gone down by 4% in the month of November, Fred's have gone down by 3%. Talk about making lemonade out of lemons.

27 posted on 11/27/2007 8:52:10 AM PST by greyfoxx39 (I am sitting here thinking how nice it is that wrinkles don't hurt!)
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To: greyfoxx39

But Mitt is pretty so his numbers look better...


28 posted on 11/27/2007 8:55:15 AM PST by ejonesie22 (Mitt Romney, like curing cancer with a coronary...)
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To: Petronski

I was trying to be nice.

But yeah, it was a lie. Typical.


29 posted on 11/27/2007 8:55:25 AM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: ejonesie22; Spiff

Well, we’ll have to agree. He knows damn well what he’s doing.

The day Slick Willard fell from 17% to 12% in Rasmussen, there were no posts from Spiffly or anyone else talking about it. There were certainly no posts describing Willard as “tied for last among frontrunners,” a meaningless distinction both statistically and rhetorically.

But Spiff can’t resist the lies. It’s part of Great Leader’s Four Year Plan.


30 posted on 11/27/2007 8:56:03 AM PST by Petronski (Reject the liberal troika: romney, giuliani, mccain)
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To: Petronski

Since the first thread posted about this got pulled, I’ll repeat my comments here. The statistical tie will continue until the conservative voters feel confident that they have found their candidate among the pack. The more the base knows about the candidates, the more they will like Fred Thompson, so I’m not worried.


31 posted on 11/27/2007 8:56:17 AM PST by Route66 (America's Main Street - - - President Fred D. Thompson /"The Constitution means what is says.")
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To: greyfoxx39

Willard’s poll numbers are always rising to Victory!

Oceania has always been at war with Eurasia.


32 posted on 11/27/2007 8:57:08 AM PST by Petronski (Reject the liberal troika: romney, giuliani, mccain)
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To: Spiff

I appreciate the graphs, but did you just ping yourself to tell yourself that “eastsider beat YOU”?

Or are there two Spiff’s in there :-)


33 posted on 11/27/2007 8:58:09 AM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: Route66

I am less than not worried, I am energized. This all fits the plan...


34 posted on 11/27/2007 8:58:13 AM PST by ejonesie22 (Mitt Romney, like curing cancer with a coronary...)
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To: Route66; Admin Moderator
Since the first thread posted about this got pulled...

That's uncanny, since that thread--which WAS first--also did not include a lying headline.

35 posted on 11/27/2007 8:59:07 AM PST by Petronski (Reject the liberal troika: romney, giuliani, mccain)
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To: RockinRight
Actually, look again, Fred is tied for FOURTH

Funny how "margin of error" never came up when Fred was in 1st on Rasmussen (a long time ago), or in second place by himself (like Mitt is today).

36 posted on 11/27/2007 8:59:10 AM PST by codercpc
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To: Route66

I like the fact that rudy is trending downward.


37 posted on 11/27/2007 8:59:37 AM PST by mainerforglobalwarming
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To: codercpc

But...Mitt’s pretty and shiny so you like his polls better right?


38 posted on 11/27/2007 8:59:52 AM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: codercpc

Statistically, there are four men tied for second.


39 posted on 11/27/2007 8:59:54 AM PST by Petronski (Reject the liberal troika: romney, giuliani, mccain)
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To: Spiff

Don’t you love how “margin of error” only comes up when Fred is behind?


40 posted on 11/27/2007 9:00:03 AM PST by codercpc
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