Posted on 09/12/2007 1:35:43 PM PDT by Kuksool
Giuliani 47 Clinton 47
Clinton 51 Thompson 41
Romney 45 Clinton 44
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows that Fred Thompson on top once again in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination, Thompson is now the top choice for 28% of Likely Republican Primary Voters
I think the more interesting data at this point is what is HRC’s ceiling?
She polarizes, that means that the number of undecideds is likely less than in a typical race, and it means that people don’t take the time to become firmly committed to a candidate that they usually do during primary season.
If she is up against her ceiling, and that is less than 50% (given the right calculus in the Electoral College) then a prediction of Nov. 2008 is more meaningful.
Thanks for this information.
If this poll is anywhere near accurate, I feel alot better about 2008 across the board.
After all, NH is now atleast a baby blue state.
The polls in NH are more meanful than other states. NH voters are being heavily exposed to the candidates. If we can be competitive in the 5 states (IA, NH, CO, OH, and Va) that jumped the shark recently, then we won’t be DOA come November 2008.
This poll tells me yankees like yankees. This is not new. The big question is who do southerners like? When was the last time the Republicans won a presidential election because of New England?? Duh!!! How does Rudy fare in the south when compared with Fred. Same question for Romney. Second question, can Rudy win NY, his own state if nominated? Anyone got an answer to that one?
As if its news, Doc Fletcher is losing 59-38. The Doc might be able to lose by 10 if he’s lucky.
She reaches more than 50% if her opponent is Fred.
Good point. I think CO will be safe. The last poll I saw (Ras) had Hillary trailing badly there. VA and OH are pretty much dead heats. I would be interested to see an IA general matchup poll.
2000
Let's see in 2000 Bush won with what 271 EV's, if NH had gone Democrat, we would have had president Gore.
New York is the third most Democratic state in the nation. Judging him by how he does in a state where the Democratic nominee was recently re-elected in a landslide is unfair.
Giuliani is a strong nominee because he brings New Jersey into our column. I haven’t seen any polling in the South. Two points on that though - 1. he isn’t losing any Southern state to Clinton, and 2. whether it is 30 points or 25 points, Mississippi is still 6 electoral votes.
Survey Usa is notoriously liberal. I’ve never seen Clinton get over 50% in any head to head. She always tops out in the 40’s no matter who she is against. I still think she won’t get a majority even if she takes the EC.
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