The only fact that justifies this statement is that Rudy is still between 30-35% on the opinion polls.
Barry makes much of the fact this hasn’t changed downward—I make much of the fact it hasn’t gone up. Rudy has no momentum. I don’t believe he’ll get more than 30% of the Republican delegates.
Remember, even among primary goers, I doubt more than 50% are following the candidates. I say this to mean, I doubt 50% of the Republican primary voters are aware Rudy is pro-abortion and pro-gay.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1885405/posts
According to Gallup's analysis of the relationship between candidate familiarity and vote choice over the past three polls, Giuliani is the clear favorite among Republicans who are not familiar with all of the other candidates in the field. He leads this group with 38% of the vote, compared with 18% for McCain, 12% for Thompson, and only 6% for Romney. However, among the slightly smaller group of Republicans who are familiar with all four candidates, the leader is Thompson with 33%. Giuliani ranks second with 25%, followed by Romney and then McCain.