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To: Jimmy Valentine
I think the weak link in derivatives is that the liquidity needed in the event of a problem, is not always there.

Assume that Turkey has a problem, so you sell your Danish CMO (collateralized mortgage obligation) holdings - you are dependent on there being another buyer, able to buy up the entirety of your holdings at the price you want. If you have a lot of Danish CMOs, the market might not be able to absorb all the ones you want to sell, meaning either that you will not sell them , or will have to sell them for less.

7 posted on 06/09/2007 6:03:13 AM PDT by ikka
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To: ikka
You are correct. That is why the smartest derivatives users have very flexible rolling hedges.

Where people (and institutions mostly) seem to get into trouble is when in the interest of scoring a big profit, they drop one side of the hedge, pushing the other.

This is what happened in Marin County California a few years ago. The treasurer dropped one side of the derivative hedge and was hailed as a boy genius with all of the money he was making until the market turned on him and he lost about $3 Billion.

11 posted on 06/09/2007 1:55:08 PM PDT by Jimmy Valentine (DemocRATS - when they speak, they lie; when they are silent, they are stealing the American Dream)
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