My question is - Do the refiners WANT to build more refineries?
If I am at capacity, and am making say, $0.50 per gallon, why would I want to sink $100,000,000 into another refinery if that means that I’ll only make $0.25 per gallon because supplies are plentiful?
If I’m in the refining business, I will not do anything to make the supply go down because my profit per gallon will plummet.