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David Frum: Russian democracy is dying
National Post ^ | March 10 2007 | David Frum

Posted on 03/10/2007 5:49:07 AM PST by knighthawk

'A message has been communicated to anyone who wants to speak out against the Kremlin: 'If you do, no matter who you are, where you are, we will find you and we will silence you in the most horrible way possible.'"

Those words come from an interview broadcast on NBC's Dateline on Feb. 26. They were spoken by Paul Joyal, a Washington consultant who studies the former Soviet Union. Joyal was talking about the murder of his friend Alexander Litvinenko, the KGB defector who died painfully in London on Nov. 23 from radiation poisoning.

Four nights after his Dateline interview, Joyal met another prominent KGB defector, Oleg Kalugin, for dinner at a restaurant in downtown Washington. Joyal returned to his home in suburban Maryland about 7:30 pm, stepped out of his car -- and was shot in the groin. Neither his wallet nor his briefcase were taken. His shooter has not been found.

Happily, the shooting was not fatal. Ivan Safronov, a military affairs writer for the Russian daily Kommersant, was less fortunate. Safronov had been working on a big story about a secret Russian deal to ship highly advanced Iskander missiles to Syria. The day after the Joyal shooting, Safronov fell out of a fifth story window in Moscow. Safronov is the 89th journalist to have died violently in Russia over the past 10 years.

We do not know how many of those deaths were ordered by the Russian government. (And indeed Joyal's shooting may well have been an ordinary crime.)

But we do know that over the past half dozen years, Vladimir Putin's government has extinguished all of Russia's independent broadcast media and severely curbed most print media.

We do know that Putin has ended elections for local government and centralized all power in the Kremlin.

We do know that he has used administrative powers to seize some of Russia's largest corporations and transfer ownership to his supporters -- and to confiscate gas fields leased to foreign investors.

And now we have a clearer idea of how Putin has been able to get away with these dangerous moves toward dictatorship: The Russian people support him.

Last week, the EU-Russia Centre released the results of a major new survey of Russian public opinion.

Only 16% of those surveyed identified the "Western model" of democracy as the ideal. More than twice as many, 35%, said they "prefer the Soviet system before the 1990s."

Only 10% of Russians regarded their country as belonging to the West. 71% said that Russia was not part of Europe. Almost half of Russians, 45%, regard Europe as a threat.

The pollsters read a series of words to respondents. They asked: Did those words have positive or negative associations. Only 33% of Russians had positive associations with the word "freedom." Even the word "democracy" had surprisingly strong negative associations: Up to one quarter of less affluent and less educated Russians associated "democracy" with concepts like (to use the pollsters' words): "chaos, demagoguery and pointless chattering."

The EU-Russia Centre notes that Russians responded much more positively to democracy and freedom in the mid-1990s than they do today. But those first post-Soviet years also suffered a collapse of living standards and political chaos -- unleashing Soviet nostalgia in many Russians. Putin's authoritarian rule, by contrast, has coincided with a time of rising prices for Russian oil and gas, and thus with improving living standards.

But this explanation goes only so far. Even in the mid-1990s, only 25% of Russians regarded Western democracy as the ideal system for Russia. Russians have been debilitated by 70- plus years of communism into feelings of personal helplessness that leads them to crave a strong boss. Virtually every Russian surveyed, 94%, said they felt they had zero influence on events in their country; 82% felt they bore no responsibility.

It's as if they are saying: Let Putin kill his enemies -- there's nothing we can do, and so it's not our fault. As an institution, Russian democracy is dying. Inside the minds of the Russians, it is already dead.

We have no shortage of things to worry about in our troubled world: Islamic extremism, Chinese aggression, European weakness, American isolation. Now add one more. A potentially great power, endowed with vast energy wealth and inheriting a vast nuclear arsenal, is deliberately and with the approval of the majority of its people turning its back on democracy and freedom. Instead of joining the West, Russia is finding its way to dangerous alliances with Iran, Syria, China, and who knows what other sinister forces. This grouping of anti-democratic states is extending its reach around the world -- even perhaps to the suburbs of Washington D.C.

Dfrum@aei.org


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: democracy; russia
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1 posted on 03/10/2007 5:49:11 AM PST by knighthawk
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To: MizSterious; Nix 2; green lantern; BeOSUser; Brad's Gramma; dreadme; Turk2; keri; ...

Ping


2 posted on 03/10/2007 5:49:34 AM PST by knighthawk (We will always remember We will always be proud We will always be prepared so we may always be free)
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To: knighthawk

Dying implies it had a life....


3 posted on 03/10/2007 5:52:24 AM PST by Mikey_1962 (If you build it, they won't come...)
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To: knighthawk

It's really a sad thing. A free Russia could be the best ally America could ever have.


4 posted on 03/10/2007 5:53:10 AM PST by cripplecreek (Peace without victory is a temporary illusion.)
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To: Canadian Outrage; DoctorMichael; vbmoneyspender; freeasinbeer

David Frum ping


5 posted on 03/10/2007 5:55:52 AM PST by knighthawk (We will always remember We will always be proud We will always be prepared so we may always be free)
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To: knighthawk
Except for the part about "there is nothing we can do" being the reason Russians don't mind Putin's crimes. In fact, they applaud them and wish they could do the like themselves.
6 posted on 03/10/2007 5:56:34 AM PST by JasonC
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To: knighthawk

"Russian democracy is dying"

Democracy is dying right here. Most just don't smell it, yet.

If the "Democrats" take full power, democracy will be dead, just like many former friends of Hillary and Bill.


7 posted on 03/10/2007 6:07:44 AM PST by wizr (Freedom ain't free.)
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To: knighthawk

It was stillborn...and Czar Putin was the killer.


8 posted on 03/10/2007 6:09:17 AM PST by CWOJackson
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To: wizr
Russian democracy is dying

What a loaded statement... Russia was never a democracy in the first place!

9 posted on 03/10/2007 6:09:33 AM PST by joseph20
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To: wizr
Russian democracy is dying

What a loaded statement...

Russia was never a democracy in the first place!

10 posted on 03/10/2007 6:09:47 AM PST by joseph20
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To: knighthawk
Russian democracy was the victim of partial birth abortion.

Thousands of years of no freedom, no democracy....

It cannot change and so will revert back to the old ways.

11 posted on 03/10/2007 6:11:08 AM PST by OldFriend (KNOWLEDGE FOREVER GOVERNS IGNORANCE)
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To: knighthawk

I have never felt as though Russia was a true ally, and especially since Putin came to office. A man from Stratfor was on O'R last night discussing how, in his opinion, Russia was deliberately arming our enemies, so that they could fight us and Russia wouldn't have to.


12 posted on 03/10/2007 6:15:35 AM PST by MizSterious (Anonymous sources often means "the voices in my head told me.")
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To: cripplecreek

In the effort to bash Putin, the author overlooked the larger picture that reveals that Russia is dying.

The sickness of democracy is merely an indication of the mortal disease of the whole society.


13 posted on 03/10/2007 6:21:48 AM PST by bert (K.E. N.P.)
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To: MizSterious

China and Russia are both attacking us by proxy.

They figure they can bring us down by a thousand cuts.

And they might be right considering our current willingness to do anything about it.


14 posted on 03/10/2007 6:26:29 AM PST by DB
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To: cripplecreek
Russia has no tradition of individual liberty or representative government. Before 75 years of Communism, there were centuries of absolute monarchy under the Tsars. Additionally, for a democratic and limited government to work in Russia, that nation would have to have been de-Communized in the same way Germany was de-Nazified after V-E Day. Instead, the Communists remained in power, under different names, and the KGB was renamed the Federal Security Service, but remained essentially intact. If in 1960, some wartime second-tier "former" Nazi had been President of West Germany, that nation would never have been admitted into NATO, and the Common Market would have been restricted to France, Italy, and the Benelux nations.

Russia is still the enemy. The supporters of limited war and nation building in Iraq should learn from the failure of democracy in Russia that it takes more than platitudes to turn a nation around. Keep in mind that the Middle East, which has been dominated by Islam for 1,400 years, lacks even the humane impulses and concern for the individual of Christianity, the historic faith of Russia.

15 posted on 03/10/2007 6:34:17 AM PST by Wallace T.
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To: knighthawk

But, the Russian Stock Market is supposed to be a good bet these days? /s


16 posted on 03/10/2007 6:42:23 AM PST by Ramcat (Thank You American Veterans)
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To: Mikey_1962
Dying implies it had a life....

In 1921, Lenin introduced his "New Economic Program", which liberalized the Soviet economy for a while. It's real purpose was to smoke out anybody with any remaining capitalist tendencies. Then the program was abruptly ended, and the identified capitalists rounded up for the Gulag

17 posted on 03/10/2007 6:43:49 AM PST by SauronOfMordor (Never try to teach a pig to sing -- it wastes your time and it annoys the pig)
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To: knighthawk
Only 16% of those surveyed identified the "Western model" of democracy as the ideal. More than twice as many, 35%, said they "prefer the Soviet system before the 1990s." Only 10% of Russians regarded their country as belonging to the West. 71% said that Russia was not part of Europe. Almost half of Russians, 45%, regard Europe as a threat.

Wait until the current generation dies off, then take the same poll again. You'll find different results. Unfortunately, Putin will overthrow the country long before then.
18 posted on 03/10/2007 7:00:49 AM PST by snowrip (Liberal? YOU HAVE NO RATIONAL ARGUMENT. Actually, you lack even a legitimate excuse.)
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To: knighthawk

More broadly, Russia as a country/civilization is dying, literally, as the life expectancies plummet. This and the growth of the Islamic portion of Russian republics will, according to Mark Steyn, make Russia the first Eurabian country. Literally, Russia is Europe's "sick old man".


19 posted on 03/10/2007 7:11:59 AM PST by T-Bird45 (It feels like the seventies, and it shouldn't.)
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To: OldFriend
The movie "Bride & Prejudice" takes place in India. The father of the main character says that, even after 60 years of independence, India is still a young country, learning to govern itself. The US still had problems after 60 years. The Civil War was close to 90 years after the Declaration. But the US persevered and kept to the principles that were laid out in the Declaration. Russia is giving up before it got started.

As for democracies, we do not have a democracy. We have a representative republic. There is a difference.

20 posted on 03/10/2007 7:15:53 AM PST by kellynch ("Our only freedom is the freedom to discipline ourselves." -- Bernard Baruch)
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