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Just a wild guess: I think that several states will outlaw abortion completly, 15-25 states will enact more restrictions on the practice, and that the backlash will cause the rest of the states to elect a pro-choice majority that will retain generally available abortions, or even abolish restrictions on the practice.

Could be. The pro-abortion states could hardly get any more pro-abortion than they already are though they might codify the right for even girls as young as 10 to get abortions secretly without parental notification, probably through the school system. In states where abortion was outlawed or restricted, groups like NARAL would set up bus service to transport women from states where it is outlawed or heavily restricted to states where it is legal. They'd have to be careful if they transported a minor across state lines. In any event, given the geography of the anti-abortion and pro-abortion states, a woman wanting an abortion would probably never have to travel more than 500 miles.

Personally, I think you'd find that no states would outlaw it in the first trimester. I don't think they'd be as wiling to grant rape and incest exceptions after the first trimester since that is so phony to begin with in the modern era.