Mark Levin has a correct analysis of the Republican Party. It has three legs:
1.) The Fiscal/Libertarian wing
2.) The National Security wing
3.) The Social Conservative wing.
Any candidate who fails to include all three will lose.
Who fits that bill? I don't know, but Guliani fails #3. McCain fails #1, and is opportunistic on #2.
that formula - got us a popular vote LOSS in 2000, and a one state ELECTORAL win in 2004. and we are going into 2008 with alot of baggage.