Posted on 11/05/2006 3:16:09 PM PST by Oakleaf
Does any know what the sample mix is??
Kyl is well respected in Arizona. Pederson comes off as a do things under the table kind of guy.
I say Kyl by 10 points.
The name Casey is only known for "pro-life" issues and I believe it was the elder Casey who was pro-life.
You'd think Santorum could win but I am not so sure this time. I wish Swann had a chance, though.
We have the marriage issue in AZ as well and the polls are all saying it will go down in defeat!!
For the longest time I confused Harold Ford with Derek Jeter.
Daley is friends with W? Hmmm........
Chicago--my hometown. Actually, Joliet is.
Oh, yeah, the Santorums also homeschooled for awhile.
Please stop in and say a prayer!
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1731894/posts
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1731268/posts
Wacky!
LIEberman will not stay independent
He will reveal his liberal democRAT self soon enough
Rural PA and the smaller urban areas (Lancaster, etc.) are conservative and Republican by quite a margin. Philly is insanely liberal, and the suburban areas, which used to be reliably Republican are trending blue, thanks to Philly people moving out and also migration from blue states to suburban Philly. The Pittsburgh area is also blue but not as bad as Philly.
From the 2004 Presidential election:
UPDATE: Gallup also detects a momentum shift, and like Pew, they have settled on John Kerry's remarks as the likely culprit (via AJ Strata):
President Bush's last-ditch push for votes and Sen. John Kerry's comments that seemed to denigrate the education level of U.S. forces in Iraq have helped energize GOP voters. A Democratic advantage of 23 percentage points a month ago and 13 points two weeks ago is now down to 7. A Pew Research Center survey released Sunday also showed that an 11-point edge for Democrats on the congressional ballot two weeks ago had narrowed to 4 points among likely voters. "It's gone from a slam-dunk for Democrats to take the House to a pretty good chance," says Andy Kohut, director of the center.
http://www.captainsquartersblog.com/mt/archives/008445.php
There are a couple counties painted red there that really surprise me. Westmoreland is the obvious shocker. Cambria too. Even Chester.
It's a pleasant surprise.
If Santorum is -12 to -16, Why are all the big name Dems showing up in PA stumping for Casey?
Yes, very interesting. Provocative even.
Dauphin County is surprising too.
Do you think there is hope turning the state to the GOP column in the Presidential election in 2008?
What's your take on Santorum?
I doubt Pennsylvania will be saved in 2008, and I think a Santorum win would be an amazement.
We are like northern California, or downstate Illinois (or upstate New York): hell-bound by our urban populations.
Yes. I left that out.
Very odd. Almost encouraging.
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