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Laffer Throws Curve with Latest Theory
American Economic Alert ^ | Tuesday, August 29, 2006 | Alan Tonelson

Posted on 09/02/2006 7:09:11 PM PDT by A. Pole

Although most economists keep insisting that their discipline is all about peaceful competition, it’s increasingly clear that they need to do violence to language and logic when defending today’s U.S. globalization policies.

The latest example: Arthur B. Laffer’s recent suggestion in a Wall Street Journal article that the term "trade deficit" is a misnomer. Instead, insisted the "Father of Supply-Side Economics" and former guru to President Reagan, Americans should call their country’s bloated excess of imports over exports a "capital surplus" – reflecting the borrowing from abroad needed to sustain it.

Unfortunately for the United States, word games can’t possibly reduce the dangers created by piling up so much debt, and in the process squandering so much of the earnings capacity needed to restore balance.

But if they really believe such verbal gimmickery reflects reality, the least Laffer and his fans at the Wall Street Journal could do is this: manage their personal finances by maximizing their debts, paying only the interest, and expecting to remain creditworthy and to maintain their high lifestyle because they’re running "individual capital surpluses."


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: capital; china; debt; deficit; exports; imports; jobs; laffer; supplyside; trade
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To: llevrok

Nails it.


21 posted on 09/02/2006 8:36:11 PM PDT by TASMANIANRED (The Internet is the samizdat of liberty..)
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To: woofie
Absolutely!
22 posted on 09/02/2006 8:37:11 PM PDT by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: Common Tator
Kia will be opening an auto plant in Georgia soon. Daimler-Chrysler opened one in Alabama not so long ago. These kinds of investments employ Americans. Over time and across markets, competition for labor increases wages. If other countries (or U.S. states) were smarter than they have shown themselves to be, they would try harder attract investment capital.
23 posted on 09/02/2006 8:41:19 PM PDT by ChessExpert (Mohamed was not a moderate Muslim)
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To: redbaiter
She has yet to buy anything from me. Should I be concerned?"

Try selling something she wants to buy.

24 posted on 09/02/2006 8:43:25 PM PDT by groanup (fairtax.org)
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To: redbaiter

I think I mis-interpreted your post. Sorry.


25 posted on 09/02/2006 8:46:24 PM PDT by groanup (fairtax.org)
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To: lonestar67
Worse, the "trade deficit" is the net balance on a statistical account that is kept by the Census Bureau that only tracks the value of things, and not intellectual property.

To clarify, if Boeing ships one jet airliner for export, that export must be reported by filling out a Shippers Export Declaration (SED) that reports the value of the item being exported. The SED is reported to the Census Bureau.

see: http://www.export.gov/sed.html

If Oracle sells a license for a piece of software, since nothing is shipped (it was downloaded from the net), even if it was for $1 million, no SED is filled out.

While the Boeing sale goes against the trade "deficit", the Oracle Sale does not. Neither do all the license or royalties from the latest Pixar release, or any music sold overseas, as long as nothing in a box, pallet, or envelope is shipped.

So the number published by the Census Bureau is a number, but in light of what percent of US business sales are overseas and not counted because they are not shipped or reported on SEDs, the number is worthless. To the extent that this worthless number influences policy making or even laws and tariffs, it is dangerous to our prosperity.

26 posted on 09/02/2006 8:48:01 PM PDT by theBuckwheat
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To: llevrok

Glad to see you are off the floor and out of the peanut shells. You are right BTW.


27 posted on 09/02/2006 8:51:50 PM PDT by cibco (Xin Loi! Saddam)
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To: Strategerist

Of course millions of people say the Laffer Curve is bogus, yet it is nothing more then a prime example of the law of diminishing returns.


28 posted on 09/02/2006 8:53:48 PM PDT by LukeL
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To: A CA Guy

Holy shit! Batman...


29 posted on 09/02/2006 8:54:34 PM PDT by cibco (Xin Loi! Saddam)
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Comment #30 Removed by Moderator

To: A. Pole

17th C. Spain was not a free-market system, dont'cha know?


31 posted on 09/02/2006 9:01:56 PM PDT by kenavi (Save romance. Stop teen sex.)
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To: A CA Guy

OMG!!! "Saturday night and I got nobody"... Can't think of the name of the artist or song.


32 posted on 09/02/2006 9:04:16 PM PDT by cibco (Xin Loi! Saddam)
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Comment #33 Removed by Moderator

To: A. Pole

The hilarious funny irony is that if only the idiots at the American 'Thinker' could use THEIR theory in their own lives they would be running a trade deficit with their local grocery store, their local gas station, their shopping mall and their mortgage company. None of the people I buy things from buy anything from me - and that is okay since other people buy things from me that I don't buy from. I don't have to be stupid and distingeous between those people inside my family and those outside whom I buy things from (especially since those in my family aren't selling me anything).


34 posted on 09/02/2006 9:27:30 PM PDT by bpjam (Hezbollah, Hamas, Al Qaida - The Religion of Peace)
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To: A CA Guy

Dude, we should tray the Japanese anything they want for this young woman. I'll start the bidding if you can find the person who is handling the sale.


35 posted on 09/02/2006 9:31:28 PM PDT by bpjam (Hezbollah, Hamas, Al Qaida - The Religion of Peace)
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To: ChessExpert

Correction to post 23:

Mercedes (not Daimler-Chrysler) recently opened a plant in Alabama. (also, try harder to attract investment capital).


36 posted on 09/02/2006 9:31:33 PM PDT by ChessExpert (Mohamed was not a moderate Muslim)
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To: A CA Guy

WOW! Time to go to sleep! I need rest and not conjecture right now. It's been a long and tiring day...

Thanks for the pics.. Good night...


37 posted on 09/02/2006 9:32:54 PM PDT by cibco (Xin Loi! Saddam)
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To: cibco

Yeah those ladies could cause a loss of sleep alright.


38 posted on 09/02/2006 9:34:09 PM PDT by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: hedgetrimmer

Its all about Oil. If you take oil of this of 'trade deficit' nonsense, we end up with a trade suplus in the tens of billions each month. Our failure to produce our own oil is the single biggest reason for the increase in the trade deficit - just look at the numbers of the last three decades. The second biggest reason would be the incredibly cheap manufacturing costs in China where we buy all kinds of cheap crap that doesn't make any sense to produce here in the US anymore - so we ship more and more of it here to fill up Walmart, 99 cent stores, etc. Its a net plus for the US consumer and the economy since the vast majority of the profit is being made here in the US.


39 posted on 09/02/2006 9:36:07 PM PDT by bpjam (Hezbollah, Hamas, Al Qaida - The Religion of Peace)
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To: theBuckwheat
I don't think the knowledge and technology contained in the specs sent to foreign countries for them to manufacture key components for our military defense hardware shows up on an SED either.

40 posted on 09/02/2006 9:58:40 PM PDT by William Terrell (Individuals can exist without government but government can't exist without individuals.)
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