There have been quite a few nice waves coming off Africa. I think as we get into the next few weeks we will see a few develop.
If this storm doesn't make landfall, I think some general seasonal ideas will start to become apparent. Someone noted that it only takes one big one, which is true, but signs seem to be pointing towards a lot of east coast threats that stay mostly offshore.
I think the comforting thing is that there is a very high confidence factor that Beryl will stay offshore, although the Outer Banks will certainly feel some pretty strong effects.
I'll be interested to see how the storms forming off Africa perform, and whether they'll be more of a threat to the east coast than they were last year. Frankly, we haven't fixed the damage here along the Gulf Coast from last year, and I'm not just speaking of Katrina damage. We're still trying to restore oil and gas production from the offshore platforms, for example.