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There Is No 'Consensus' On Global Warming
Wall Street Journal ^ | June 26, 2006 | Richard S. Lindzen

Posted on 06/26/2006 3:25:17 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks

According to Al Gore's new film "An Inconvenient Truth," we're in for "a planetary emergency": melting ice sheets, huge increases in sea levels, more and stronger hurricanes and invasions of tropical disease, among other cataclysms -- unless we change the way we live now.

Bill Clinton has become the latest evangelist for Mr. Gore's gospel, proclaiming that current weather events show that he and Mr. Gore were right about global warming, and we are all suffering the consequences of President Bush's obtuseness on the matter. And why not? Mr. Gore assures us that "the debate in the scientific community is over."

That statement, which Mr. Gore made in an interview with George Stephanopoulos on ABC, ought to have been followed by an asterisk. What exactly is this debate that Mr. Gore is referring to? Is there really a scientific community that is debating all these issues and then somehow agreeing in unison? Far from such a thing being over, it has never been clear to me what this "debate" actually is in the first place.

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; alarmism; alarmists; algore; climatechange; consensus; convenientmyth; dictatorshipofmedia; environment; environmentalists; globalwarming; globalwarmingping; globullwarming; gore; greenhousegas; ipcc; nas; noconsensus; panic; politicsoffear; pollution; propaganda; science; skyisfalling; wearedoomed
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To: satchmodog9
I'm hopeful that in the days to come other newspapers will publish this column and a search engine using a portion of the snippet above as search terms will reveal the entire article.
21 posted on 06/27/2006 4:33:34 AM PDT by Beowulf
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
Bill Clinton has become the latest evangelist for Mr. Gore's gospel...

Funny, isn't it, that when Bill Clinton was president, neither he nor Prince Albert did squat about Global Warming®. Now, a few years later, it is a major disaster in the making. What changed?

22 posted on 06/27/2006 4:41:46 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (Democrats are guilty of whatever they scream the loudest about.)
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To: Beowulf
You should search this guy Richard S. Lindzen. The lefties have a bounty on his head.
23 posted on 06/27/2006 5:40:05 AM PDT by satchmodog9 (Most people stand on the tracks and never even hear the train coming)
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To: satchmodog9

Try this link to get the Lindzen article free.
http://www.johnbatchelorshow.com/article.cfm?id=3690


24 posted on 06/27/2006 7:08:07 AM PDT by NavierStokes
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To: OnRightOnLeftCoast
I thought the Senate declined to discuss ratification after Al Gork signed the treaty. Thand G*d Bush unsigned it.
25 posted on 06/27/2006 2:44:38 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (One flag--American. One language--English. One allegiance--to America!)
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To: OnRightOnLeftCoast
How 'bout Bush's Fault?

Look down there, Johnny. Do you know what that big crack in the earth is? Why, it's Bush's Fault!TM

26 posted on 06/27/2006 2:46:49 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (One flag--American. One language--English. One allegiance--to America!)
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To: satchmodog9

If I could point you to a fair use sight with WSJ material on it, I would. I'd just go ahead and pony up the 99 bucks for a year's worth. There's some pretty good stuff in there. If you can't afford a whole year, I think it's 10 per month or some such.


27 posted on 06/27/2006 2:49:10 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (One flag--American. One language--English. One allegiance--to America!)
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To: Beowulf

If FR allowed more than 300 words in an excerpt, you can rest assured I would post a lot more of each article.


28 posted on 06/27/2006 2:50:05 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (One flag--American. One language--English. One allegiance--to America!)
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To: Fresh Wind
Funny, isn't it, that when Bill Clinton was president, neither he nor Prince Albert did squat about Global Warming®. Now, a few years later, it is a major disaster in the making. What changed?

AlGore signed Kyoto on Clinton's watch, so it wasn't exactly as though they were sitting on their thumbs. However, Bush unsigned it, and Al might be gearing up for a Presidential run in 2008. Hopefully, Gore bombs big time.

29 posted on 06/27/2006 2:51:53 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (One flag--American. One language--English. One allegiance--to America!)
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To: satchmodog9
You should search this guy Richard S. Lindzen. The lefties have a bounty on his head.

LOL. I know. I've read a lot of Lindzen's pieces in the past.

30 posted on 06/27/2006 3:27:08 PM PDT by Beowulf
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
If FR allowed more than 300 words in an excerpt, you can rest assured I would post a lot more of each article.

Thanks. It is the constraints we have to abide by, fair use and all.

31 posted on 06/27/2006 3:28:48 PM PDT by Beowulf
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

On the subject of consensus, I would love to see a good survey of climatologists. The Global Warming Alarmists are always crowing about how they are the overwhelming consensus. I'm don't believe that's the case. The recent survey in 2003 suggests that their consensus is not all that strong.

http://www.sepp.org/NewSEPP/Bray.htm

also here:

http://www.staff.livjm.ac.uk/spsbpeis/Scienceletter.htm

The question asked was "To what extent do you agree or disagree that climate change is mostly the result of anthropogenic causes? A value of 1 indicates strongly agree and a value of 7 indicates strongly disagree."

There were 530 valid responses. The results were:

Mean = 3.62; Std. Error of mean = .080; Median = 3.00; Std. deviation = 1.84
Frequencies:
1...... strongly agree 50 (9.4% of valid responses)
2...... 134 (25.3% of valid responses)
3...... 112 (21.1% of valid responses)
4...... 75 (14.2% of valid responses)
5...... 45 (8.5% of valid responses)
6...... 60 (10.8% valid responses)
7...... strongly disagree 54 (9.7% of valid responses

This is a slight rise in consensus compared with the same survey conducted in 1996 which resulted in a mean of 4.1683 to the same question (Five countries USA, Canada, Germany, Italy, and Denmark only in 1996 survey, N = 511). So I guess the consensus is growing slowly - from 4.168 to 3.62 - or 13% in 8 years

I wonder how the result would have changed if the question specified "result of CO2 emissions" instead of "result of anthropogenic causes"
There are lots of other anthropogenic causes besides CO2 emissions (Land use, aerosols, methane, black carbon, dissipated heat from industrialization).

The result you get depends on how the question is worded.


32 posted on 06/29/2006 12:33:15 PM PDT by NavierStokes
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