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To: Always Right
Oh come on now. Mexico's entire population is only 100 million or so and that includes the 10 million or so that are already here.

Mexico's population is 107 million today. That number does not include the illegals who are already here.

A 1.16% growth rate is not going to make that much difference. At that growth rate, even 20 years from now you are looking at under 130 million people.

Obviously, you don't understand the miracle of compound interest. If Mexico maintains a 1.16% growth rate over the next 20 years, its population will grow from the present 107 million to 134 million. And remember that this growth rate includes a negative migration. If the current rate of illegal Mexicans continues over the next 20 years, it will not make make Mexico a "ghost country" as you aver. In fact, it will have almost one-third more people.

Also, please note that illegal immigrants are coming in large numbers from Central and South America. 25% of illegals enter this country legally using valid visas and just stay.

37 posted on 05/30/2006 6:18:38 AM PDT by kabar
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To: kabar
Mexico's population is 107 million today. That number does not include the illegals who are already here.

No it does not, acoording to this.

"Roughly 10 percent of Mexico's population of about 107 million is now living in the United States, estimates show."....Illegals are probably counted as still part of Mexico's population since they are still officially Mexican.

Obviously, you don't understand the miracle of compound interest. If Mexico maintains a 1.16% growth rate over the next 20 years

Oh I understand perfectly well, I just based it on my estimate of what I thought Mexico population was roughly, 100 vs. 107.

And remember that this growth rate includes a negative migration.

Yes and no. It includes the current levels of migration. If the flood gates were truely open as this prediction suggests, the current net migration rate would go from -4.32 per 1000 to about ten times that or about 40 per 1000. This would push their population growth from 1.16% to -2.84%, which would result in Mexico's population plumenting from 107 million to under 60 million over the next 20 years. Ain't going to happen. It's an over the top prediction that should never have been printed.

39 posted on 05/30/2006 7:09:49 AM PDT by Always Right
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