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Iran unable to block Hormuz
Middle East Newsline ^ | 2006 Apr 26

Posted on 04/26/2006 2:01:56 AM PDT by Wiz

WASHINGTON [MENL] -- Iran lacks the capability to block the world's leading shipping route for crude oil exports.

The Center for Strategic and International Studies said the Iranian Navy, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, has failed to procure the platforms or weapons required to block the Straits of Hormuz, the passage for 60 percent of the world's oil trade. In a report, the Washington-based center said the United States could block any Iranian attempt to attack Gulf shipping, particularly from the sea.

"Iran could not close the Strait of Hormuz, or halt tanker traffic, and its submarines and much of its IRGC forces would probably be destroyed in a matter of days if they become operational," the report said.

(Excerpt) Read more at menewsline.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: csis; hormuz; iran; maritime; nuclear; oil; on; puppetmasters; terror; war; weapons
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ping
1 posted on 04/26/2006 2:01:58 AM PDT by Wiz
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To: Wiz

Mahmoud the Mad persists in drawing to an inside straight.


2 posted on 04/26/2006 2:03:58 AM PDT by sono ("If Congressional brains were cargo, there'd be nothing to unload." - Rush Limbaugh)
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To: Wiz
The last time Iran tried to block the Straits it cost them almost their entire Navy inside of a week.

Even with the recently installed Silkworm sites along Irans coast I think the outcome would be pretty much the same. We'll just put all the tankers passing through the Straits under the US flag and dare Iran to start a war.

If they shoot at US flagged ships then they're fair game for everything the US Navy can unleash on them.

L

3 posted on 04/26/2006 2:07:49 AM PDT by Lurker (Anyone who doesn't demand an immediate end to illegal immigration is aiding the flesh trade.)
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To: Lurker
"The last time Iran tried to block the Straits it cost them almost their entire Navy inside of a week."

I think it will be much quicker this time considering the assets we have lurking around the area. I'm sure everything worth worrying about already has at least one set of crosshairs on it.

Within 24 hours all the Iranians will have left to launch are rubber rafts- something for the boys to shoot full of holes and have fun with.

4 posted on 04/26/2006 2:16:35 AM PDT by Nathan Zachary
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To: Wiz

That article is a good find, Wiz. ...good work!


5 posted on 04/26/2006 2:18:53 AM PDT by familyop ("Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists." --President Bush)
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To: Wiz

If Iran will bloc the route by whatever means how the heck will they ship their oils?... they might want to eat crude oil candy bars... for life!


6 posted on 04/26/2006 2:21:17 AM PDT by ChristianDefender (There is no such thing as Moderate Islam...)
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To: Nathan Zachary
The only thing that sort of concerns me is that the Iranians have been hiding Silkworm sites by the dozens along the coast.

I seriously doubt that any one site will get more than one or two shots off, but that will be enough to do some damage. However, once those sites do fire something, I think their survival time will be measured in seconds. That reality will most likely cool the ardor to shoot at American flagged tankers.

L

7 posted on 04/26/2006 2:23:06 AM PDT by Lurker (Anyone who doesn't demand an immediate end to illegal immigration is aiding the flesh trade.)
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To: Wiz

In the runup to our confrontation with Iran you will read a dozen stories from all of the usual MSM suspects. They will all intone, without actually saying, Iran can stop the whole world flow of oil. They will also try to dig up some ex-military people, Generals are preferred, to say Iran can block the Straits of Hormuz.

They will not, however, find anyone to say differently. Then the polls will come out asking "Considering that some military experts predict that we may not get any oil at all, do you support the Presidents decision to attack Iran?".

Then the selfsame MSM members who began the lie will trumpet the results.

Its how they work and its disgusting. Imagine for a moment if they put half the effort into supporting the President that they do into looking for the next gotcha moment. How nice would that be?


8 posted on 04/26/2006 2:24:54 AM PDT by Personal Responsibility (Amnesia is a train of thought.)
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To: sono

I call him the Iraniac.


9 posted on 04/26/2006 2:32:06 AM PDT by savedbygrace (SECURE THE BORDERS FIRST (I'M YELLING ON PURPOSE))
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To: ChristianDefender
If Iran will bloc the route by whatever means how the heck will they ship their oils?... they might want to eat crude oil candy bars... for life!

Considering that Iran has no refineries and has to import all their gas and fuel, this plan is "Stoopid" enough for Mamood the Moron to try......

10 posted on 04/26/2006 2:40:25 AM PDT by dirtbiker (I've tried to see the liberal point of view, but I couldn't get my head that far up my a$$....)
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To: DoctorZIn; derheimwill; Entebbe; Evolution; freedom44; nuconvert

ping


11 posted on 04/26/2006 2:49:49 AM PDT by Wiz
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To: Wiz
"The Holy Prophet Exercise"

I have heard some gay exercise names in my day, but that is definitely the gayest by far.

Additionally, whenever you hear about technology being employed by countries from the Middle East with the exception of Israel, you only need to pay serious attention if their Russian "advisers" are going to be on site to employ it. If not, you need not worry because they will be either too scared or too ignorant to operate it.
12 posted on 04/26/2006 3:04:12 AM PDT by lt.america (Captain was already taken)
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To: dirtbiker

Such is the thoughts of most muzzies... destroying everything first before realizing the bad consequences..


13 posted on 04/26/2006 3:14:22 AM PDT by ChristianDefender (There is no such thing as Moderate Islam...)
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To: lt.america
I have heard some gay exercise names in my day, but that is definitely the gayest by far.

LOL

14 posted on 04/26/2006 3:17:49 AM PDT by ChristianDefender (There is no such thing as Moderate Islam...)
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To: Nathan Zachary

"I'm sure everything worth worrying about already has at least one set of crosshairs on it."

Count on it.


15 posted on 04/26/2006 3:20:18 AM PDT by roaddog727 (eludium PU36 explosive space modulator)
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To: Personal Responsibility

"Its how they work and its disgusting. Imagine for a moment if they put half the effort into supporting the President that they do into looking for the next gotcha moment. How nice would that be?"

Makes you wish that Bush would take a tactic used by Lincoln during the war of Yankee aggression.

Close down and occupy with federal troops, all newspapers that printed false or incindiary stories.

Frankly I would love to see US Marines suddenly appearing in the News room of CNN and shut down the cameras during a live broadcast in the Networks main building.

Is it against the 1st Amendment? Yes, most likely. But we are in a war of survival and if they are not with us, they are against us and that translates into Treason in my opinion.

But that's just my opinion. Take it for what it's worth.


16 posted on 04/26/2006 3:20:39 AM PDT by Leatherneck_MT (An honest man can feel no pleasure in the exercise of power over his fellow citizens.)
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To: ChristianDefender

The Chinese are building a huge terminal on the Iranian cost on the gulf of Oman.

When its finished, they will be able to ship oil regardless of what happens with Hormuz


17 posted on 04/26/2006 3:27:08 AM PDT by Axlrose
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To: Leatherneck_MT
"Makes you wish that Bush would take a tactic used by Lincoln during the war of Yankee aggression."

Exactly what Bush should do.
18 posted on 04/26/2006 3:35:15 AM PDT by MaDeuce (Do it to them, before they do it to you! (MaDuce = M2HB .50 BMG))
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To: Lurker

Short of Almighty God freezing them cold . . .

I don't think anything but death will cool the Iranian's ardor. And, it's fine with me if we cool their ardor by accomodating them.

But I don't like the puppet masters setting it up such that the Iranians and No Koreans start WWIII.

And that prospect gives the Mad Mooslimb entirely too much glee for anyone's sane comfort.

Armageddon lurks certainly enough and close enough without a leading Middle East power seeking it with eager attraction.


19 posted on 04/26/2006 3:35:18 AM PDT by Quix (TRY JESUS. If you don't like Him, the devil will always take you back.-- Bible Belt Bumper Sticker)
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To: Axlrose
Sounds good...

If something happens at Hormuz the most affected and will likely suffer hard are the Arabs and most esp. the Persians... it may be terrible as well for the world oil market but history shows that non-muslim countries are good and well-experienced with energy source alternative. the fact that its the non-muslims who discovered the oils in the ME... It's impossible for the rugheads to discover it themselves because all they do is fight each other, have more wives, think of the 72 virgins, and rape camels lol... sarc/// the later part

20 posted on 04/26/2006 4:20:59 AM PDT by ChristianDefender (There is no such thing as Moderate Islam...)
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