Maybe you think this because all the polling data is the foundation of all this "Analysis". And, all the polling data has been statistically manipulated to gernerate this result. There is NO intellectually honest reason for the Media polls to switch to polling 38D, 27R 35I Adults over 18. To start with 50-55% of them will not vote.In addition, based on the last national election, the result should be 40-40-20 with the Ind split 10% Leans D, Leans R. This is junk polling. Completely unsound methodology. And ALL the "Political Analysis" is based on the junk numbers. Bush is suffering completely natural 2nd termers fatigue. But it seems to be an across the board phenom. Funny thing. See the local numbers? Everyone HATES pols, except their own guy. Only 16 out of 100 Senators have approval numbers under 50%. That is NOT an electorate in the mood to make wide ranging changes in Congress
I recently spoke to our supv. of elections in a S. Fla. county and he told me the independents were heavily weighted towrad us. But I don't know if it's like that all over.