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To: Lucky Dog
Since you seem to want to try to construct a mathematical model of evolution to 'test' it....I was wondering what you think of the mathematical models that are being used to support the hypothesis that humans are responsible for global warming....and whether you think the earth's meteorological system (global temperature system?) is a more or less complex system than the earth's biological system.
263 posted on 04/15/2006 6:44:58 PM PDT by ml1954 (NOT the disruptive troll seen frequently on CREVO threads.)
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To: ml1954
was wondering what you think of the mathematical models that are being used to support the hypothesis that humans are responsible for global warming....

These models are generally based upon unproven assumptions.

and whether you think the earth's meteorological system (global temperature system?) is a more or less complex system than the earth's biological system.

The earth's climatological system like the the earth's biological system can be discussed and mathematically modeled in broad terms. Where the current climatological models generally fail is in their predictive capability (both postscriptively and prescriptively).

As an example, proponents of the current climatological models claim to be able to predict a coming catastrophe. However, their models can not even be used to postcriptively predict major, historical, climatological events.

As to modeling the earth's biological system, it can be done in broad terms. If one tries to use such a model to predict exactly when a new species will emerge, it is going to have to incorporate a number of unproven assumptions just like the climatological models currently do.

However, in terms of climatological models one can examine ice cores (from very deep cores) to determine the frequency of past ice ages and determine the statistical likelihood of a correlation with geologic evidence of volcanic activity within certain confidence intervals. Similarly, one can examine the statistical occurrence rate of genetic mutations and the past frequency of occurrence of the emergence of new species and determine the statistical likelihood of a correlation with the mutation rate.
277 posted on 04/15/2006 7:15:30 PM PDT by Lucky Dog
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