I believe MN will be our best shot, especially since it has not been averse to electing Republicans to the Senate since 1978 (I believe had Rod Grams been able to match Dayton dollar for dollar, he might've been able to retain his seat back in 2000). NJ may be the second-most likely if Kean remains ostensibly competitive. It has not elected a Republican since 1972. MD may be the third-most in the bunch, last electing a Senate Republican in 1980 (though Mac Mathias was so leftist, as was Clifford Case, that they were de facto Democrats), but the question remains there which 'Rat gets the nod (probably Cardin), and the likely voter fraud the 'Rat legislature has given the thumbs-up to (as was voiced by Gov. Ehrlich).
I would've agreed with you on PA going 'Rat, but I think that Casey, Jr. is springing major-league leaks in his campaign and peaked months too soon. If the election were held now, Casey would win, but I think Santorum is starting to right his campaign. I think Burns will lose narrowly in MT even in the absence of REAL substantive proof of wrongdoing, I still wish he would step aside. I still believe MT is basically a GOP-leaning state that is overrepresented by Democrats (the legislature was deliberately gerrymandered by Democrats in control of the redistricting process to obtain a majority that is fraudulent).
DeWine will probably hold on in OH, but it's hard to overstate the damage the establishment GOP has done to the state and the genuine anger by the electorate there. It will be interesting to see if we manage to retain all the statewide offices as we have for, what, 12 years ?
Also, not mentioned is Michigan. I believe we're going to capture the governorship and may have a similarly strong Senate candidate (which unfortunately won't be Rev. Keith Butler, who truly got shafted by Liddy Dole). The horrid Stabenow is going to rue the day she stood next to a sign reading "Dangerously Incompetent."
I'm not touching FL with a 10-foot pole, lest certain individuals flip out, but you and I are on the same page where that contest is concerned.
MN doesn't look like its going Rep, it looks like it's getting more ratty, actually. Pawlenty, the Rep governor, is losing in the polls to his Dem opponent. He was only elected by like 43%, if I remember correctly. The Dem nut Ford Bell is beating Kennedy, and he says if he's elected he'll call for immediate withdrawal. Peacenik nutcase makes the other Dem look moderate, and I think she's at the 49% mark at this point while Kennedy is still climbing into the low 40's.
Pennsylvania governor's race, and Maryland and NJ are looking good. I wouldn't get your hopes up about MN, though.