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It's the demography, stupid ..... Mark Steyn
The New Criterion ^ | 2 Jan 2006 | Mark Steyn

Posted on 01/02/2006 12:04:17 PM PST by Rummyfan

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To: Rummyfan
Why then, if your big thing is feminism or abortion or gay marriage, are you so certain that the cult of tolerance will prevail once the biggest demographic in your society is cheerfully intolerant?

Why indeed. Every idiot liberal should have to read this.
21 posted on 01/02/2006 1:20:00 PM PST by steel_resolve
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To: expatpat

I lived in Europe for 7 years. All those you spoke of have died off and left the spoiled, welfare-raised brats behind to run the show. And they don't like to have kids.

Steyn offers truth. If Europeans don't have the will to turn off the welfare state, who will pay for it as the recipients age? They're not having kids. Keep that in mind.

Perhaps some smaller nations will survive, but the great European countries are doomed.


22 posted on 01/02/2006 1:31:24 PM PST by Alas Babylon!
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To: Rummyfan
...they figure there’s an excellent chance they can drag things out until western civilization collapses in on itself and Islam inherits by default.

Ah, the old "historical inevitability" thing - one reason this is not an issue of the Left is that there are an awful lot of disappointed true believers over there who are still desperately holding out for their own form of historical inevitability, wherein capitalism founders from its own internal contradictions and a new socialist utopia eventuates. To the Islamists it's the same metaphor - only the utopia takes a different form. Both are fated to be disappointed in the end, I suspect, but that doesn't mean the road from here to there isn't going to be as bloody as the road from 1917 to 1989 turned out to be.

I am less alarmed than Steyn with respect to the ability of Western society to function on a less-populated and older-median-age model. Given a measure that doesn't figure into these calculations, i.e. the longer span of productivity of latterday humanity and the help that technology promises with respect to yet longer health, it appears to me that we might very well ride out this period of low birthrate, in the absence of demographic changes produced by migration. That's always the issue - history is, if it may be distilled to one single measure, the story of migratory peoples coming on new land, very little of which was unpopulated before they happened along. In that sense I think Steyn correct when he blows the warning horn on the influx of the unassimilatable. It is this, and not just birthrates, that is the immediate peril for Europe, IMHO.

23 posted on 01/02/2006 1:34:17 PM PST by Billthedrill
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To: expatpat
Pat. I must respectfully disagree with your analysis.

When we suggest that a nation (spell tribe) can and will recognize a mortal threat -- and take actions required for its survival -- certain assumptions are implicit in the thesis:

1. That the nature and identity of the "threat" is definitive; with clear options available in addressal thereof. Incremental demographic shifts -- with attendant social and cultural modifications to the tribal makeup -- make such options ever more difficult. (Who and where is the "enemy", etc...)

2. Building a consensus for unified action against the threat becomes ever more difficult -- if not impossible.

It seems to me that the biggest enemies Western Civilization has in this conflict with Islam are, in fact, TIME and an attendant diminution of NATIONAL WILL.

Happy New Year to all.
24 posted on 01/02/2006 1:44:13 PM PST by dk/coro
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To: expatpat
Look at the neo-nazi kids, the football hooligans, and the after-pub fights in Glasgow if you don't believe it.

Those people are the European equivalent of our PWTs. Or, to use Orwellian terminology, they are the proles. On their own, they are capable of little more than the white riot that occured in an Australian beach community before Christmas. For Europe to turn back from the abyss of becoming a bunch of "stans", it will take intelligent men and women who are willing to return to the traditional and Christian roots of European culture in numbers large enough to become a major force in society. When and if the welfare state collapses, such men and women would be in a position to take control of their respective nations, much as the Christian church did in the wake of the fall of the Roman Empire.

Barring such an event, the call of the muzzein will be universal from the Atlantic to the Urals and Christianity will be at best tolerated if churches refrain from evangelism.

25 posted on 01/02/2006 1:46:50 PM PST by Wallace T.
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To: expatpat

The out, "tough" Europe you're talking about no longer exists. Those guys are all dead. The remainder are embracing dhimmitude.


26 posted on 01/02/2006 2:01:35 PM PST by karnage
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To: expatpat

"Look at the neo-nazi kids, the football hooligans, and the after-pub fights in Glasgow if you don't believe it."

The Islamists tend to ally with the neo-nazis.

As for "the football hooligans and their after-pub fights", if this is what the Euro-socialists are counting on to retain their societies, God help them.


27 posted on 01/02/2006 2:21:24 PM PST by ncphinsfan
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To: Rummyfan; Pokey78

Pokey78 must still be on holiday.

It's okay, we'll take all the Steyn we can get.

Can one view Steyn's similar speech on C-Span's website? Was it the Churchill dinner?


28 posted on 01/02/2006 2:21:48 PM PST by Choose Ye This Day (Win the war. Confirm the judges. Cut the taxes. Control the spending. Secure the border.)
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To: Rummyfan
Steyn is missing one large point. The problem is not abortion per-se. You still have to have abortion in cases or rape, incest, and other hardship cases and attempts to outlaw those abortions just get democrats elected to public offices

The abortions you really DON'T want happening are those taking place because the girl is 17 or 20 years old and doesn't have a reasonable way to think she can raise a child and manage her life at the same time. To solve that problem societies have to tackle the real problem, i.e. they need to make it possible for their own seventeen to twenty-five year olds to marry and have children at the ages when we're biologically programmed to do so (16 - 25) and not at 35 - 50 when they're "financially capable" of it.

A rational society should prefer to pay the price for that to paying the price for putting their country under sharia law which, as Steyn notes, is basically the alternative.

29 posted on 01/02/2006 2:23:44 PM PST by darkocean
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To: Rummyfan
The old definition of a nanosecond was the gap between the traffic light changing in New York and the first honk from a car behind. The new definition is the gap between a terrorist bombing and the press release from an Islamic lobby group warning of a backlash against Muslims.

LOL!

The maggots have no sense of humor so they probably aren't laughing. I can't help laughing and can't stop, every time these losers fire their press release salvos that 3-year-olds would have a hard time believing...

30 posted on 01/02/2006 2:25:40 PM PST by Publius6961 (The IQ of California voters is about 420........... .............cumulatively)
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To: expatpat
It has largely been quiescent since 1945, but it is still there, and will be resurgent when things really start to hurt. And when their homelands are at stake, they will win.

What Europe needs is a War!

31 posted on 01/02/2006 2:57:11 PM PST by Mike Darancette (Mesocons for Rice '08)
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To: expatpat

I agree. Europe will either go quitly, or explode in an orgy of racial violence that will make the Holocaust look like a church social. It is impossible to say which it will be. But as of this time, I'm putting my money down on "explode".


32 posted on 01/02/2006 3:26:10 PM PST by gridlock (ELIMINATE PERVERSE INCENTIVES)
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To: alanthemanc
Howdy. Thanks for the nice words about America in our dialog - and sorry about being being so presumptuous.

Anyway, you may want to read Mr. Steyn's New Year's piece here. He basically lays out your future, pretty much the way that I was stating it. I just hope that enough writing on the subject, while it is still legal at least, will convince the MSM over there that the war clouds are forming, and something better be done real fast to avoid a bloodbath.
33 posted on 01/02/2006 3:40:12 PM PST by MediaAnalyst
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To: Billthedrill
In that sense I think Steyn correct when he blows the warning horn on the influx of the unassimilatable. It is this, and not just birthrates, that is the immediate peril for Europe, IMHO.

Another interesting side effect of Muslim extremism is that it dends to de-assimilate moderate Muslims and absorb them. Moderate Muslims in Europe tend to fall under the orbit of extremists once they start gaining enough gravity. This is reflected in an increase in radicalization of second and even third generation immigrants.

Granted, European countries often exacerbate this problem by failing to thoroughly assimilate their immigrants in the first place. The isolated North African ghettos of Paris are the perfect incubators for radical Wahabbism, even if they are mostly moderate now. Muslim Europeans that are treated like strangers in their own country will be easy prey for would be Abu Musab al Zarqawis with dreams of insurgency and revolution.

34 posted on 01/02/2006 3:52:06 PM PST by Steel Wolf (If the Founders had wanted the President to be spying on our phone calls, they would have said so!)
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To: karnage
The remainder are embracing dhimmitude.

Don't you believe it. There is a lot of enmity between the Anglo-Saxons and the Pakistanis.

35 posted on 01/02/2006 4:36:06 PM PST by expatpat
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To: dk/coro
In the UK, the 'enemy' is the Pakistani, in France it is the NA Arab, in Germany, the Turk, and so on.....

When the time is ripe, there will be politicians who will use it as an opportunity, and help develop a consensus.

36 posted on 01/02/2006 4:42:05 PM PST by expatpat
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To: Billthedrill

You've nailed it (with your drill?). The admission of large numbers of immigrants with a very different culture is very dangerous -- just ask the American Indian.


37 posted on 01/02/2006 4:44:29 PM PST by expatpat
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To: expatpat
You've nailed it (with your drill?). The admission of large numbers of immigrants with a very different culture is very dangerous -- just ask the American Indian.

Horrible comparison.
Primitive cultures can be analyzed only through very different rules. Large tribes without even a written language to be used for administration, can't even have a vague concept of what immigration means, let alone formalize an administrative means to control it.

38 posted on 01/02/2006 5:46:56 PM PST by Publius6961 (The IQ of California voters is about 420........... .............cumulatively)
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To: expatpat

Where's the beef? All I see is appeasement.


39 posted on 01/02/2006 6:15:40 PM PST by karnage
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To: expatpat

In the last French presidential election Jean-Marie Le Pen received 5,525,906 votes, the majority of them from people over 50. There are currently more than 6 million muslims (and counting), the majority of them under 30. Time is running out.


40 posted on 01/02/2006 6:52:31 PM PST by Philistone (Turning lead into gold...)
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