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JORGENSON EXPLODES FAIRTAX MYTH (FR Exclusive)
self | August 25, 2005 | RobFromGa

Posted on 08/24/2005 9:40:44 PM PDT by RobFromGa

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To: Carry_Okie

We have a massive black market now. We always will- it will just shift.

By the way, in the State of Florida, where we are funded 100% by sales tax, I can tell you confidently that the Dept. of Revenue is nothing like the IRS in terms of intrusiveness. Their tactic is to audit sales receipts, but that's nothing compared to the info needed to determine income.


101 posted on 08/25/2005 4:57:21 AM PDT by ovrtaxt (Fairtax.org)
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To: RobFromGa

excellent work, Rob. The books should be removed from the shelves due to this HUGE error.


102 posted on 08/25/2005 4:58:20 AM PDT by ElRushbo (Harley Riders against Elton John)
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To: ovrtaxt

Thank you for a decent, civil reply.

The only thing I have ever been looking for from FairTax proponents is an honest discussion.


103 posted on 08/25/2005 4:58:36 AM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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To: RobFromGa
Rob,

You are so focused on the specific numbers that you seem to have missed a vital point in Dr. Jorgenson's first response to you:

Your analysis of employee income, producer costs, and consumer prices is based on a static view of the world that does not take into account the dynamic impacts of the changes to the tax system. Without taking those effects into account, your numbers aren't going to make sense no matter how you apply your assumptions.

104 posted on 08/25/2005 4:59:09 AM PDT by kevkrom (WARNING: If you're not sure whether or not it's sarcasm, it probably is.)
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To: ElRushbo
excellent work, Rob. The books should be removed from the shelves due to this HUGE error.

I'm not sure what they should do at this point, but I plan to call Mr. Linder today.

105 posted on 08/25/2005 4:59:53 AM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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To: kevkrom

you miss the point, I am not debating whether the actual FairTax is a good or a bad thing for the econoy and for Americans in the long term through economic growth.

I am attempting to expose a $1.3 Trillion misrepresentation in the way the plan is sold in The FairTax Book, and this is being accomplished. Once the dust settles on this correction, we can debate away on the relative merits of the actual plan.


106 posted on 08/25/2005 5:03:12 AM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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To: kevkrom
Your analysis of employee income, producer costs, and consumer prices is based on a static view of the world that does not take into account the dynamic impacts of the changes to the tax system.

But the fair tax assertion that prices immediately come down 20% can no longer be made.

107 posted on 08/25/2005 5:04:34 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: RobFromGa
This entire exercise shows why the NRST will never ever pass because it creates too much uncertainty. Markets hate uncertainty, business hates uncertainty, investors hate uncertainty and yes even workers hate uncertainty.

The politicians will never ever take the risk because they will not have support.
108 posted on 08/25/2005 5:06:07 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: RobFromGa
I can't speak to the book, in that a) I haven't read it and b) I'm not much of an economist. I'm just trying to point out that the discussion of wages, prices, etc., often seems to miss the point that much of the "framework" through which we view these things will change under a radically different tax system.

As far as this specific issue, and whether or not it is a misrepresentation, I will reserve judgement until I hear either a rebuttal or an admission from the FairTax folks -- it is possible that something is being missed.

My interest in the FairTax has never been the economics anyway (though the discussion threads always seem to get dragged that way). Let me repeat something I posted on a different thread:

Most of the recent discussions and arguments about the FairTax here on FR have been of the economics variety, and have basically boiled down to "how many angels can dance on the head of a pin" arguments. Nobody really knows what the impact will be due to the dynamic effects of changes to the tax code (even tax cuts under the current system are hard to predict the effects of accurately), though guesses can be made by using certain assumptions -- and its these assumptions that appear to be the main point of contention in the arguments.

While it may be worthwhile to have these discussions, in my opinion, they miss the most important point of all with regards to the FairTax.

Freedom.

That is the freedom that the NRST/FairTax will bring. That is the major reason why all of the other schemes advocated (flat tax, transaction taxes, etc.) are unacceptable.


109 posted on 08/25/2005 5:12:40 AM PDT by kevkrom (WARNING: If you're not sure whether or not it's sarcasm, it probably is.)
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To: Carry_Okie

Another BIG advantage is that Ministers can preach for or against candidates or any social issues without loseing their tax exempt status (there being no taxes).


110 posted on 08/25/2005 5:13:14 AM PDT by AmericanDave (God bless .......and MORE COWBELL)
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To: RobFromGa
I made the mistake of chiming in on a FairTax thread once and got called names. I don't really understand why people think this is a magic cure to taxation. The only way to reduce taxes is for politicians to stop spending money.

Obviously, politicians won't stop spending more and more money so the pressure has to come from outside. I want people to explicitly pay ALL their taxes, not have them hidden in a receipt or be funny money at pay time. I want people to deposit their FULL salary into their bank account and then have to write checks to the IRS quarterly to pay taxes. No withholding, etc.

111 posted on 08/25/2005 5:14:15 AM PDT by mikegi
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To: Always Right
But the fair tax assertion that prices immediately come down 20% can no longer be made.

Only if you subscribe to a static model of the economy.

112 posted on 08/25/2005 5:14:30 AM PDT by kevkrom (WARNING: If you're not sure whether or not it's sarcasm, it probably is.)
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To: kevkrom

That's basically my reason for supporting the FairTax too.


113 posted on 08/25/2005 5:20:09 AM PDT by ovrtaxt (Fairtax.org)
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To: Always Right
But the fair tax assertion that prices immediately come down 20% can no longer be made.

Oh, and by the way, you have it completely backwards -- if Rob's analysis is correct, Jorgenson still maintains that the prices will drop by 20% or so, but that employees would not receive their currently withheld income and payroll taxes.

Of course, that would violate a large body of contract law, but that's probably because Jorgenson just makes an assumption to make modelling the changes easier, not that this will necessarily be the case in practice.

114 posted on 08/25/2005 5:22:06 AM PDT by kevkrom (WARNING: If you're not sure whether or not it's sarcasm, it probably is.)
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To: kevkrom
Imagine a tax system that doesn't play games with whether or not you're rich or poor, black or white, male or female, or any other social or economic factor.

What's to stop the politicians from placing "special" taxes on expensive items, like a luxury tax? For example, a car that's over $20,000 has a luxury tax of 100%.

115 posted on 08/25/2005 5:23:26 AM PDT by mikegi
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To: mikegi
What's to stop the politicians from placing "special" taxes on expensive items, like a luxury tax? For example, a car that's over $20,000 has a luxury tax of 100%.

What stops them now? The last time they did something that stupid, they practically destroyed the yacht-building industry in this country.

116 posted on 08/25/2005 5:29:17 AM PDT by kevkrom (WARNING: If you're not sure whether or not it's sarcasm, it probably is.)
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To: kevkrom
Oh, and by the way, you have it completely backwards -- if Rob's analysis is correct, Jorgenson still maintains that the prices will drop by 20% or so, but that employees would not receive their currently withheld income and payroll taxes.

No kidding, we have only been debating this point for 6 years

117 posted on 08/25/2005 5:37:20 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: Always Right

I'm oughta here bump


118 posted on 08/25/2005 5:41:50 AM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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To: Scutter

Your forgetting (for some reason) the 1/4 - 1/5 of the current (untaxed) economy that avoids paying social security, Medicare, and income tax entirely.

But anytime ANY of these people makes a purchase after the Fair Tax begins, that exchange is taxed.

Now ole Rob claims that almost all of the current "underground" (untaxed) purchases (he makes a incorrect assumption that the underground econmy is only drug dealers and prostitues!) are used goods and from pawn shops that would not be taxed, but that is wrong.


119 posted on 08/25/2005 5:48:31 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (-I contribute to FR monthly, but ABBCNNBCBS supports Hillary's Secular Sexual Socialism every day.)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE
Now ole Rob claims that almost all of the current "underground" (untaxed) purchases (he makes a incorrect assumption that the underground econmy is only drug dealers and prostitues!) are used goods and from pawn shops that would not be taxed, but that is wrong.

I never made that assertion, and haven't made a single reference to undergroung purchases, nor am I commenting on the potential black market that would result from a 30% tax on every retail sale.

120 posted on 08/25/2005 5:50:21 AM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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