http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
You can see the low building from Ohio to Brownsville and the explosion of energy in Galveston/Houston. I think folks in La or maybe even Fla pan handle need to start paying attention. Also you can see a shape turn north and then a turn west, Enily is having a hard time making up her mind. But if that low establishes itself then we might dodge Emily. That Fla Hurricane magnet might have been turned no.
Again, I seriously doubt that trough sitting in TX right now will stay put until the storm gets near the GOM. My target zone for a U.S. hit remains Brownsville to Houston, with an outside shot of the storm making it as far north as LA.
I'm not a meteorologist, of course, but I think a landfall east of Texas is highly unlikely. Most likely, looking at it today, this is a northern Mexico storm. Something is going to have to substantively change in order to affect the storm's path.
Looking at the core of the storm, it appears to be heading due west, well, well south of the track it should be following.
It may not hit the US or even Mexico if my eyes aren't deceiving me.