PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK (Outbreak of strong tornadoes possible across OK,KS,NE,IA,MO)

Storm Prediction Center, National Weather Service ^ | June 04, 2005 | N/A

[Strategerist]

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1100 AM CDT SAT JUN 04 2005

VALID 041600Z - 050000Z

...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MISSOURI VALLEY TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE DAMAGING HAIL OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MISSOURI VALLEY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

SOUTHWEST IOWA EASTERN KANSAS WESTERN MISSOURI SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA

SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHERN MINNESOTA INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.

A VERY WARM/MOIST AND EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS DEVELOPING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND EASTERN KANSAS AT MID DAY...AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS ALOFT AND THE HIGH DEGREE OF INSTABILITY ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO EXPLOSIVE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY LATE AFTERNOON IN THESE REGIONS. STORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE SUPERCELLS...CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE DAMAGING HAIL AND A FEW STRONG TORNADOES. ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EASTWARD INTO WESTERN IOWA AND WESTERN MISSOURI DURING THE EVENING.

ADDITIONAL...MORE ISOLATED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM SOUTHERN MINNESOTA ALL THE WAY SOUTHWARD INTO PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS. DAMAGING HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS...ALTHOUGH A FEW TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.

..GUYER/HALES.. 06/04/2005

[Iowa Granny]

Help is on the Way!!

I live on hwy 92, which runs parallel with I-80, in SE Iowa. A CONVOY of electrical utility trucks just went past my house, headed west. I think there were 7 of them.

I was deadheading roses and may not have gotten to count the first couple of them that passed.

Obviously, they are going to have them in position to go in to help with repairs/replacements once the storms move thru.

[No Blue States]

Thats what I love about FR, where else would I get info like that?! thanks Granny. Boy its hot and humid here in the DFW area. Looks ripe for some weather. Our latest forecast mentions an increased chance for big weather here although most is expected to the Red river and north.

[GRRRRR]

It blew threw hear in abowt fife minuets...No problmes.

[Mr. Jeeves]

Did you see on the storm chasing board they said Nebraska already had a small tornado and its not even in the risk area

There's a rather nasty-looking cell northwest of North Platte, Nebraska right now.

[jrp]

Nothing like a strong spring thunderstorm on the prairie. Being somewhat of a weather buff, I miss Midwestern spring weather (not the damage they can cause, though). No super cell T-storms here in San Diego. I still have my old Radio Shack WeatherAlert radio, but it doesn't get much use any more. I hope any tornados that form today stay out in open fields, where they can be viewed and studied without causing harm. Good luck all.

[No Blue States]

I watched a supercell go from NE along the Red River to E and finally SW and straight South out of the Dallas area..it spawned an F5 later that unfortunately wiped Jarell Tx completely from the map.So, I watching this anyway, Supercells sometimes chose their own track.

[bluesagewoman]

A little town north of here where I worked in the 80's had a civil defense system of sirens to warn the town of tornadoes. Unfortunately, to activate the sirens, the police officers were required to climb up the pole, flip the switch, and climb back down the pole. Finally, they then had to drive the patrol car to their assigned overpass to keep it from being pinged to pieces by hail.

Sure made "man your post" a literal order. Trouble was, the sirens were so loud they almost blew you off the top of the pole, so we learned to carry ear plugs all the time. Of course, sometimes the wind would almost do the job, too.

The town I live in now has a nice button at the 911 center that they just flip. We have a siren about 30 feet outside our bedroom window, and they test it on Wed. each week. Had a roofer standing on the shed roof last summer when the thing went off just feet above his head. Guess what!!

[budman_2001]

[Brad’s Gramma]

Prayers for everyone's safety!!!

[No Blue States]

I see it, its almost as impressive as the ones near Topeka. Nothing in Texas yet, the warm air cap hasnt been broken I assume.

From Strats Link: "That northern most cell in Kansas (northeast of Manhatten) looks like it developed a small hook in that last scan (4:22p CDT)... imagine that'll go TORNADO WARNED here very soon."

[jrp]

The first spring I lived in Kansas, we were in a new subdivision. The sirens went off and the police came around to warn us of the tornado warning. Like morons all of us ran outside to see what was going on and to try to see the tornado. We were all transplants to the Midwest and the whole storm warning thing was a novelty. Luckily I didn't see a tornado, that day or any other while I lived there - it was a dense suburban area and the damage would have been bad.

[bluesagewoman]

We haven't had many warnings this year, but last year the sirens went off many times...so many that when the cats heard the sirens they would immediately run to the basement door knowing they would get to go downstairs and play in a few seconds. Trouble was, they were hard to coax back up after the all clear.

Oh, and about climbing the poles, I forgot to mention that when the warning was over and it was only raining cats and dogs, we got to go back up and turned the blasting alarms off.

[No Blue States]

Tornado Watch now extended south to OK city.

Topeka, Kansas doppler radar loop:
(always hit reload on weather radars for latest)

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?num=6&scale=0.75&delay=100&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&showlabels=1&ID=TWX&lat=39.05644989&lon=-95.67561340&label=Topeka%2C+KS&type=N0R&zoommode=pan&map.x=400&map.y=240&centerx=402&centery=297&prevzoom=zoom

[Iowa Granny]

Hubby is on the road today. He left about 10:00 am with a trailer to pick up 3 4-wheelers from a dealer in your town.

[No Blue States]

Storm chaser saying Emporia storms expected in the next 30-60 minutes and becomming rapidly tornadic.

There is nothing on the radar there right now, it will be interesting to see if he is right.

[Inspectorette]

Usual "June Gloom" here in coastal Orange County, CA. The sun pops out for about an hour in the afternoon and then the marine layer brings the clouds in again.

Same up here on the Central Coast.

[No Blue States]

I see we are in a Tornado watch now, thats a suprise.
Just West and NW of the DFW area south to brownwood.

[socal_parrot]

Two weeks ago we had a five day heat wave and the local TV news was talking about no June Gloom and a hotter than normal summer with big fire danger. You don't think they were over hyping a little, do you?

[PhiKapMom]

Was in Chickasha at a 4th District Republican Committee Meeting when we heard thunder. The lady I was riding with said time to go as bad weather tracks up I-44 which runs right through Chickasha. Got back to Norman and it is bright sun mixed with a few clouds but we are still part of that watch area that includes North Texas.

[Tigen]

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_ir_enh_mw.html

I think I will have a watch from here.