Posted on 05/25/2005 3:41:22 AM PDT by billorites
Maybe not for someone intent on naural selection, random mutations, etc. as the only explanation for the presence of intelligent beings and the goods that intelligent beings produce. You tell me. How do you know there is such thing as intelligence? Where do you look for it?
Are you off your meds or something?
Don't take meds unless I have a cold or the flu, but as my screen name, rambling sentences, contorted grammar, and frequent mispellings might suggest, cheap beer is my elixer of choice. At the present moment I look forward to popping open a cold one in about 30 minutes.
I'm glad you admit Darwin Central is occupying my property; to wit:666
Pay the rent.
How do you correctly apply numbers to unknown conditions with an unknown number of variables occurring over an undetermined period of time and claim the result is anything other than nonsense?
Intuitively, a person knows that my car (a complex thing) didn't just accidentally happen.
My brain is far more complex than my car.
I will take your word for it -- it's only true of certain people.
But be that as it may, your example is nothing more than bait and switch.
Well no, on examination my statement stands up pretty well on it's own. Were I you, I wouldn't be overly proud of the fact that, in a regime where if you are literate, chances are the Pope paid for your schooling, and where not to be Catholic or to disagree with the Papal version of science gets you burned at the stake like Geordono Bruno, or sentenced for life like Galileo, or hounded into exile like Spinoza, that pretty much everybody is officially catholic, and officially agrees with the Pope and the head of the inquisition wholeheartedly.
I also could officially win every argument on FR, and and ban whoever I wanted, if I was allowed to threaten my opponents and the FR classroom monitors with burning at the stake. And then FR would be officially donh'ish, and then I could constitute the reading and thinking population of FR, and be officially offended everytime a modern Galileo tried to post here.
Probability of deterministic mechanisms yielding complexity = 0.00.
Probablity of random mechanisms yielding complexity = 1.00.
Probability of chaotic mechanisms yielding complexity can be between 0 and 1 but they take an infinite time to do so.
It is not essentially an argument from incredulity, and even if it were, it makes sense. Is it "arguing from incredulity" when one argues that Mount Rushmore must be the result of intelligent design because of the number of chisel strokes evidenced on its face? Yes. But it is a reasonable argument nonetheless.
The numbers and probabilities involved with the amount of information currently bouncing around in the universe in such organized fashion as to be able to a.) comprehend it, b.) organize it to some degree, and c.) communicate about it, speak for themselves. Incredulity has no effect on plain numbers and probabilities, and that is what the proponents of ID are working with.
I can't think of a way for evolution to have happened naturally, therefore it must have been designed.
The fact is, I can easily think of a way for evolution to have happened, but I am disinclined to bring the baggage of "naturally" as germane to studying the processes available for observation and testing. That little purse seems to fit you comfortably and you wear it proudly. Some of us can do without it.
I already told you. That belongs to Darwin Central.Oh, that reminds me... *hands back 'accidentally' stolen DC beer coaster*
Okay, I admit, I got really bored and had to channelize my creativity.
You described the shutdown. You didn't describe "what left."
Also, the analogy does hold. An extremely complex system doesn't just happen. Suggestions that reproduction gets us out of the dilemma simply ignores that the extremely complex biological system includes an extremely complex reproductive system. It's like saying that because the car comes from a factory that makes cars then it could have made itself, or that because it includes a repair code system within its computer memory, then that means it ACTUALLY COULD have made itself."
C'mon now. :>)
????
My car is complex, and it's obvious that it didn't make itself.
Don't be silly, of course you could.
Horse manure. It is the postulate (it doesn't even rise to the level of "theory") that, as the name "Intelligent Design" explicitly states, some (unspecified) form of (unspecified) intelligence added some (unspecified) amount of (unspecified) "design" into life on Earth at some (unspecified) time(s).
Any "model of probabilities and improbabilities" employed by the IDer's is done solely in support of their attempts to "prove" that certain aspects of life "could not have" evolved. The purpose of this is to try to bolster the credibility of "intelligent design" as the "obvious" alternative, but they obviously aren't clear on how science works. Weakening one theory in no way supports a different hypothesis. ID is not the "default" explanation which "wins" by eliminating the competition. Mankind outgrew that particular fallacy centuries ago.
So please stop repeating nonsense like trying to claim that Intelligent Design "is" an "appeal to a mathematical model of probabilities", as if it's nothing more than a particular analytical method. Instead, probability calculations (usually naive and bogus ones) are just one of the *tools* they attempt to employ in order to flail about for "support" for what ID actually *is* -- the notion that life was "designed", that it was CREATED. In short, creationism by another name.
Creationism is a theory of origins that posits God bringing about, in 6 days as per the judeo-christian bible, all that we see in the universe.
So you're claiming there's no such thing as an "old Earth creationist"? Are you remarkably naive, or just dishonest?
Yes, young-Earth Biblical creationists are one *kind* of creationist. But there are many other kinds. By definition, anyone who posits that an act of conscious creation was involved in the formation of life can fairly be classified as a "creationist", although obviously there are many different "flavors". One of those flavors is the pseudo-scientific postulate of "ID".
Post hoc, ergo propter hoc, thy name is Fester.
Well, I'm afraid it is. And that you think it would make sense if it were a logical fallacy indicates you not only don't know what I'm talking about, you don't know what you're talking about.
Is it "arguing from incredulity" when one argues that Mount Rushmore must be the result of intelligent design because of the number of chisel strokes evidenced on its face? Yes. But it is a reasonable argument nonetheless.
There are other lines of evidence (pun intended), to follow in the Mount Rushmore case. It's not an argument from incredulity, although someone profoundly silly could convert it into one. ("No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people" - H. L. Mencken).
Incredulity has no effect on plain numbers and probabilities, and that is what the proponents of ID are working with.
They're making up numbers to suit themselves and applying them to a situation no one knows anything about. They then use the numbers to bolster ... an argument from incredulity.
If we go back in time to your great-great-grandparents, the odds against your being born are astronomically against. Unless you want to argue that you don't exist, you're not going to get very far.
Come to think of it, you'll probably get a lot farther arguing you don't. Makes for better conversation at cocktail parties.
The fact is, I can easily think of a way for evolution to have happened, but I am disinclined to bring the baggage of "naturally" as germane to studying the processes available for observation and testing.
What's the scientific test that would demonstrate the supernatural?
That little purse seems to fit you comfortably and you wear it proudly. Some of us can do without it.
And some of us feel the same way about smothering science with either nonsense (in the case of ID), or religion.
And please don't attempt to convert this into an argument against religion. It's not. It's an argument against religion restricting science.
Hey! I never got a coaster! (However, I kept a glass from the dining hall) :-)
It's "obvious" because we know that people make cars.
The Hawaiian Islands are highly complex -- and they *did* "make themselves".
Complex things *can* be the product of intelligent design. They can *also * be the product of natural processes.
So I'm afraid that the entire "argument" of ID ("it's complex, therefore it must have been designed, QED") just falls flat on its empty-headed face.
No one's saying it did. Your car has mo bearing on evolution.
Many do, actually.
Suggestions that reproduction gets us out of the dilemma simply ignores that the extremely complex biological system includes an extremely complex reproductive system.
So start with a simpler one. Duh.
It's like saying that because the car comes from a factory that makes cars then it could have made itself,
It's nothing at all like saying that. You obviously don't understand the position you're (poorly) attempting to critique.
or that because it includes a repair code system within its computer memory, then that means it ACTUALLY COULD have made itself."
Again, no.
Materialists do say that it just randomly came about. You remember....Maybe lightening...maybe protein soup...maybe a snowball in a hot place.... Sheesh.
It's obvious that my car is a complex system and that it didn't make itself. It is not illogical at all to apply that same observation to other complex systems.
Earlier generations of life forms DID HAVE reproducing/replicating systems. Otherwise, you wouldn't be talking about them.
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