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NEW POLL SHOWS "NO" STILL AHEAD BEFORE FRENCH VOTE ON EU TREATY
The Tocqueville Connection ^ | 20 May 2005 | The Tocqueville Connection

Posted on 05/20/2005 2:44:56 PM PDT by Cornpone

PARIS, May 20 (AFP) - Opponents of the EU constitution in France remain in the lead with little more than a week to go before the May 29 referendum, a new poll revealed Friday, as both sides shifted their campaigns into high gear.

The survey conducted by the BVA polling institute showed that 53 percent of decided voters will cast their ballots to reject the treaty, against 47 percent who support the charter. Nineteen percent of those asked were still undecided.

After a brief bright spot in the polls for the "yes" campaign earlier this month, the "no" camp has surged back into the lead in the past week, with five surveys all pointing to a rejection of the EU constitution.

A separate poll by BVA-L'Express spelled more bad news for President Jacques Chirac and Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin -- their popularity ratings have plummeted to 39 percent for the president, and just 21 percent for Raffarin.

Just over a week before French voters go to the polls, both sides of the campaign are rallying their forces, with a harsh war of words erupting on the country's political left, which is deeply split on the issue.

Former Socialist prime minister Lionel Jospin, whose two prior campaign appearances earned high marks, urged his skeptical party faithful late Thursday to join the "yes" camp, picking apart the arguments of treaty opponents.

"To those who are tempted to vote no, I say that they have every chance of being deceived," Jospin told 3,000 Socialist party (PS) supporters at a rally in the western city of Nantes, warning against a protest vote to punish Chirac.

"If the French vote no, there will be no change in France, but just a no to Europe," the former prime minister cautioned.

Pollsters agree that left-leaning voters hold the key to the results on May 29. Jospin and the PS leadership are campaigning for the constitution, while former prime minister Laurent Fabius leads the left's "no" camp.

Former Communist party leader Robert Hue hit back at Jospin on Friday, condemning his "arrogance" and the "constant stream of chatter from the yes camp".

The left-leaning newspaper Liberation endorsed the constitution on Friday, saying in a commentary that the "no" camp was "offering nothing but stagnation" and "practicing the art of the three-card trick".

"A no is a no -- a no to the very idea of a constitution that is acceptable to the 25 countries," the paper said.

Chirac, whose ruling center-right party is leading the "yes' camp with the PS, will appeal to voters in France's overseas territories in a radio interview late Friday, while Raffarin will campaign outside Paris at the weekend.

Some treaty supporters fear that the unpopular Raffarin can only hurt their efforts. According to the BVA poll, 62 percent of those surveyed said he was unconvincing in a live television interview earlier in the week.

The "no" camp has gained ground on talk of a possible "plan B" should the treaty be rejected -- meaning its eventual renegotiation. The BVA survey showed that 69 percent of French people believe the charter can be rewritten.

Chirac, along with EU officials and other leaders, has repeatedly ruled out any renegotiation, a message he hammered home Thursday at a summit with German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder and Polish President Aleksander Kwasniewski in eastern France.

The constitution, which aims to simplify the operating rules of the European Union following last year's expansion to the post-communist east, must be ratified by all 25 member states. So far, seven have done so.

A rejection by so important a country as France -- one of the bloc's six founding members -- would leave the treaty dead in its tracks, and plunge the EU into political uncertainty.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: constitution; eu; euconstitution; france; no; treaty

1 posted on 05/20/2005 2:44:57 PM PDT by Cornpone
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To: Cornpone
Chirac, whose ruling center-right party

huh?

2 posted on 05/20/2005 2:47:35 PM PDT by wildwood
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To: Chgogal

Ping....


3 posted on 05/20/2005 2:48:14 PM PDT by Cornpone (Aging Warrior -- Aim High -- Who Dares Wins)
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To: wildwood
Chirac, whose ruling center-right party... huh?

Haven't you heard? Chirac is a moderate right-winger, just like John McCain. He is very spiritual, but doesn't think his religious views should carry over into his politics. At least, this is what the MSM thinks.

NPR is all upset about this EU vote.

(steely)

4 posted on 05/20/2005 2:54:03 PM PDT by Steely Tom (Fortunately, the Bill of Rights doesn't include the word 'is'.)
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To: Steely Tom

It's not as strange as you make it seem: Chirac is a *french* right-winger. That means that he will pursue French interests, not US ones. I.e. - he had/has lots of sweet deals going with various Arab governments, and doesn't want to spoil that, as that would diminish the power of France - hence his opposition to Bush.

Contrary to popular US belief, the French can be rather... erm, non-subtle. Never heard of US commandos blowing up Greenpeace ships, for one... Also, the French nuclear testing under Chirac back in the nineties drove the leftoids absolutely nuts.


5 posted on 05/20/2005 3:23:37 PM PDT by dob
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To: Cornpone

The survey conducted by the BVA polling institute showed that 53 percent of decided voters will cast their ballots to reject the treaty, against 47 percent who support the charter. Nineteen percent of those asked were still undecided.



Let it be! This is great news! The Constitution actually means total franco-german hegemony on the Old Continent.


6 posted on 05/20/2005 3:58:18 PM PDT by Pomian
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To: Cornpone
Open the graveyard and bring out the goulds.
7 posted on 05/20/2005 4:01:48 PM PDT by jec41 (Screaming Eagle)
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To: wildwood
No, really. They consider his party to be Center Right, and, Guess what? It is! That is how far to the Left French politics is, and it is not just the French. The CDU in Germany is considered "conservative" but in the USA it would be considered left of center, certainly way more left of center that the Democrat Party was before McGovern's brats took it over.

One gathers that the term "right of center" in this context means that one can still own something or the other, as long as one does not get too flashy about it.

8 posted on 05/20/2005 4:04:09 PM PDT by CasearianDaoist
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To: CasearianDaoist

oh, come on! that's the best the french can do RIGHT? that's pathetic....is there no one else who is truly conservative over there?


9 posted on 05/20/2005 4:08:04 PM PDT by wildwood
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To: wildwood

Non.


10 posted on 05/20/2005 4:10:36 PM PDT by CasearianDaoist
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To: Pomian
You are so correct! Hopefully other countries will recognize the power grab. Welcome BTW! :)
11 posted on 05/20/2005 5:40:48 PM PDT by Chgogal
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