Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Liberals Sinking In Polls (Woo-Hoo for Canada!)
CNEWS ^ | February 10, 2005 | Bill Rodgers

Posted on 02/10/2005 4:27:17 PM PST by UpHereEh

The same-sex marriage debate and an almost daily dose of AdScam could be having an effect on the fortunes of Canada's two main parties, a new poll suggests. Liberal voter support has slipped three points to 38% across the country, but they've lost a whopping 10% in vote-rich Ontario.

The Conservatives have gained three points nationally, rising to 29% and their support in Ontario has jumped six points to 32%.

The SES poll shows Grit support in the country's most populous province has plunged to 44%, compared to the 54% support it enjoyed in an SES poll last October.

Quebec is the only region where federal Liberal support grew in the latest poll --up four points to 36%. They still trail the Bloc by nine points.

SES pollster Nik Nanos is cautious about what's causing the swings in central Canada, saying it's likely to be a combination of factors.

"It could be that the Liberals might be picking up support in Quebec because of their position on same-sex (marriage) and then maybe the Conservatives (are) picking up a few more points in rural and small-town Ontario (for their opposition to it)," Nanos said.

The SES survey of 1,000 Canadians shows Jack Layton's New Democrats remaining steady nationally with 17% of voter support, followed by the Bloc Quebecois at 11%, based solely on its popularity in Quebec. The Green Party stands at 5%.

The number of uncommitted voters was 12%

The SES random telephone survey was conducted between Jan. 28 and Feb. 2 and is considered accurate within 3.1%, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.


TOPICS: Canada; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: canada; samesexmarriage
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-54 next last

1 posted on 02/10/2005 4:27:18 PM PST by UpHereEh
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: UpHereEh
Man, I have never been able to figure Canada out. But then again, I have more important things cooking over the fire than pondering the Frostback sociopolitical construct.


2 posted on 02/10/2005 4:31:13 PM PST by Viking2002 (Let's get the Insurrection started, already..............)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: UpHereEh

Ya hey, Eh, just wait until all our US moonbats move up there to escape BUSHCOUNTRY....you'll be right back where you started!


3 posted on 02/10/2005 4:33:05 PM PST by cfrels
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: UpHereEh

he-he-he Fox news must be having an effect.


4 posted on 02/10/2005 4:33:43 PM PST by SandRat (Duty, Honor, Country. What else needs to be said?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: UpHereEh

Take it to those liberals with "all five fingers" Free Dominion.


5 posted on 02/10/2005 4:35:16 PM PST by darkmatter (Let them hate. As long as they fear.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: UpHereEh

For our non-Canadian readers: AdScam is the ongoing investigation of how the previous Liberal government channelled $100 million to their friends.


6 posted on 02/10/2005 4:38:32 PM PST by AdrianR
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: UpHereEh

What the heck is "the Bloc"?


7 posted on 02/10/2005 4:41:25 PM PST by Dog Gone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: UpHereEh
For what it's worth, I'm not sure this is necessarily good news. A +4% swing in Quebec might actually give the Liberals enough votes to pull out a few more Quebec ridings. And the CPC's Ontario "gains" may be in rural ridings already held by Conservative MPs. Plus, the 32% CPC support in Ontario from the SES poll isn't much different than the 31.5% of the vote the Conservatives actually pulled in Ontario last June.

The NDP's support (17%) is slightly overstated compared to the election (15.7%), though.
8 posted on 02/10/2005 4:41:56 PM PST by conservative in nyc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Dog Gone; AdrianR

Did you want to take that one Adrian, I'm afraid I'll use to much profanity in my description.


9 posted on 02/10/2005 4:44:23 PM PST by UpHereEh (Standing with the U.S.Eh!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: UpHereEh

The conservatives are still way behind, though. Me thinks that the Canadian voters still don't get it.


10 posted on 02/10/2005 4:44:42 PM PST by Brilliant
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: UpHereEh

Uh-oh, somehow I think I'm not going to like the Bloc.


11 posted on 02/10/2005 4:46:15 PM PST by Dog Gone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: conservative in nyc

Good point, however the inquiry into the Adscam is just heating up. The damning report will come out before an election and they are sure to lose more points by the time its all over. The libs won't be able to overcome this, it's just to big.


12 posted on 02/10/2005 4:46:47 PM PST by UpHereEh (Standing with the U.S.Eh!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Dog Gone

It's like "da 'HOOD", only more upscale.


13 posted on 02/10/2005 4:49:15 PM PST by PzLdr (Liberals are like slugs-they leave a trail of slime wherever they go.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Dog Gone

Doubt it, it's a regional separitist party in Quebec that consists mainly of french-speaking liberal minded socialists.


14 posted on 02/10/2005 4:49:33 PM PST by UpHereEh (Standing with the U.S.Eh!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Brilliant
The conservatives are still way behind, though. Me thinks that the Canadian voters still don't get it.

Not yet, but they are learning......

15 posted on 02/10/2005 4:51:02 PM PST by dirtbiker (Solution for Terrorism: Nuke 'em 'till they glow, then shoot 'em in the dark!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Dog Gone

> What the heck is "the Bloc"?

Bloc is short for Bloc Quebecois, the party that wants independent Quebec.


16 posted on 02/10/2005 4:51:11 PM PST by AdrianR
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: AdrianR

See, your description was more politically correct than mine.


17 posted on 02/10/2005 4:53:14 PM PST by UpHereEh (Standing with the U.S.Eh!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Dog Gone

I'll try it without any profanity. Since I'm an American, I can't guarantee it's 100% accurate:

The Bloc Quebecois is a Quebec-only political party that is not affiliated with the main Canadian national parties (Liberal Party, Conservative Party of Canada and New Democratic Party, or NDP). They are for greater Quebec sovereignty, among other (generally liberal) things.

The only parties that really compete in Quebec since the demise of Brian Mulroney's Progressive Conservative Party are the Liberals and the Bloc. Since about 1 in 4 Canadians live in Quebec, this makes it difficult for the Conservative Party to actually win a majority of seats in Parliament. They'd have to do a lot better in Ontario than they are currently doing to make up for sure Quebec losses. 32% in Ontario's not going to cut it.


18 posted on 02/10/2005 4:53:22 PM PST by conservative in nyc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: AdrianR

The people of Canada will vote the Liberals back in. They would vote the Liberals back in if they started firing machine guns in Daycare Centres. The Canadians are terrified that one of these days they will have to pay for something they think they are getting "free" now, and all the Liberals have to do is tell them that the Conservatives will close the candy store and they are right back on the Liberal plantation.

I have lived here 6 years now and I can't figure it out, but it happens every election.


19 posted on 02/10/2005 4:55:35 PM PST by KateatRFM
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: UpHereEh
Good point, however the inquiry into the Adscam is just heating up. The damning report will come out before an election and they are sure to lose more points by the time its all over. The libs won't be able to overcome this, it's just to big.

I hope you're right. I'm not going to trust any of the opinion polls after they were so wrong before the last election, though.
20 posted on 02/10/2005 4:55:49 PM PST by conservative in nyc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-54 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson