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Oil Tumbles Below $44 as Weather Weighs ($43.13/bbl)
Reuters ^ | December 27, 2004

Posted on 12/27/2004 2:29:43 AM PST by RWR8189

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - U.S. oil prices slid more than half a dollar to below $44 a barrel on Monday as unusually mild winter weather in the United States curtailed demand.

U.S. light crude futures fell 78 cents at $43.40 a barrel in very light early European trade, surpassing last Friday's losses on London's International Petroleum Exchange (IPE), when Brent crude fell 64 cents.

The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) was shut last Friday, Dec. 24, while the IPE will be closed this Monday and Tuesday, keeping volumes thin.

Despite falling nearly $3 over the last five sessions, oil prices are still up 34 percent since the start of the year as searing oil demand growth coupled with refinery and production limitations stretched the supply chain.

Production outages in the United States, Norway and Nigeria have halted some 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) of output, but the short-term focus is on the weather in the United States, where an unseasonably mild start to winter has dulled heating oil demand.

Despite earlier calls for a chilly Christmas, forecasts late last week showed temperatures would be warmer than usual. Private forecaster Meteorlogix said this week's weather in the heavy consuming U.S. Northeast would be up to 20 F warmer than usual.

"With the revised milder temperatures and the stats we had last week, I'm more inclined to think we'll push lower and test the $40.00 to $40.25 range," said John Brady with ABN AMRO in New York. "The market definitely feels to be on the defensive."

Prices tumbled 3 percent last Wednesday after weekly U.S. government data showed that stockpiles of distillates -- which include winter fuel heating oil and diesel -- had risen, despite a cold snap that should have spurred demand.

In Asia, one of the world's worst earthquakes in a century unleashed a massive tsunami wave killing thousands across South and Southeast Asia, but it did not disrupt oil exports from the region's only OPEC member, Indonesia, officials said.

In Iraq, saboteurs blew up a domestic pipeline linking the northern Kirkuk oilfields to a refinery in Baiji as the kind of attacks that have repeatedly thwarted exports continued.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: brent; crude; crudeoil; energyprices; lightsweetcrude; nymex; oil; opec
12/27/04 Session Contract Detail for February 2005
alt alt alt
alt alt
alt alt alt alt
alt Last alt alt alt 43.13 alt alt
alt alt alt alt
alt
alt alt alt alt
alt Open High alt alt alt 43.87 alt alt
alt alt alt alt
alt
alt alt alt alt
alt Open Low alt alt alt 43.87 alt alt
alt alt alt alt
alt
alt alt alt alt
alt High alt alt alt 43.87 alt alt
alt alt alt alt
alt
alt alt alt alt
alt Low alt alt alt 43.08 alt alt
alt alt alt alt
alt
alt alt alt alt
alt Settle alt alt alt 44.18 alt alt
alt alt alt alt
alt
alt alt alt alt
alt Change alt alt alt -1.05 alt alt
alt alt alt alt
alt
alt alt alt alt
alt Open Interest alt alt alt 113631 alt alt
alt alt alt alt
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alt alt alt alt
alt Volume alt alt alt 0 alt alt
alt alt alt alt
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alt alt alt alt
alt Last Updated alt alt alt 12/27/04 04:43:06 alt alt
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Chart

1 posted on 12/27/2004 2:29:44 AM PST by RWR8189
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To: RWR8189

U.S. oil prices slid more than half a dollar to below $44 a barrel on Monday as unusually mild winter weather in the United States curtailed demand.




tell that to the people in Houston that got a foot of snow a couple of days ago....


2 posted on 12/27/2004 2:38:37 AM PST by MikefromOhio (14 days until I can leave Iraq and stop selling hot dogs in Baghdad....and boycotting boycotts)
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To: RWR8189

Check out that peak in prices on Nov 2. My gas tank is a political pawn and I don't like it.


3 posted on 12/27/2004 4:30:03 AM PST by Thebaddog (Dawgs on the coffee table.)
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To: RWR8189

Thanks for the post

Let's see .... 42 gallons (barrel) divided into $43.00 per barrel is $1.02 a gallon ... plus $0.32 fed/state taxes here in FL ... plus refining and transportation costs of approx. $0.07 per gallon ... equals a total of $1.41 per gallon in the storage tank at our local gas station. hmmmmmmmmm ... I wonder why 87 octane gas is still $1.95 a gallon here?


4 posted on 12/27/2004 4:43:28 AM PST by moonman
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To: moonman

You're getting hosed. It's $1.55-$1.59 here in KY.


5 posted on 12/27/2004 8:22:22 AM PST by FreedomPoster
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To: RWR8189; hchutch

It's Bush's fault!


6 posted on 12/27/2004 8:23:55 AM PST by Poohbah (God must love fools. He makes so many of them...)
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To: MikeinIraq
Houston that got a foot of snow Won't affect oil consumption.
7 posted on 12/27/2004 8:26:59 AM PST by RightWhale (Destroy the dark; restore the light)
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To: moonman
Let's see .... 42 gallons (barrel)

A barrel is 42 Imperial gallons, and 55 US gallons.

8 posted on 12/27/2004 8:38:21 AM PST by DrDavid (Tomorrow will be an even better day...)
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To: DrDavid

love the quality of data on the free republic. thanks for the correct numbers.


9 posted on 12/27/2004 8:55:56 AM PST by q_an_a
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To: q_an_a
Sorry, I got 55 gallon drums and barrels mixed up.

After doing some research I found this: http://www.newton.dep.anl.gov/askasci/eng99/eng99288.htm.

A barrel is 42 US gallons (35 Imperial gallons) and contains approximately 19.5 gallons of gasoline.

10 posted on 12/27/2004 10:06:32 AM PST by DrDavid (Tomorrow will be an even better day...)
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To: RWR8189
Hmmm ... oil was 24 dollars a barrel in May yet the prices for gas were not as flexible as oil prices.

Any reason ?

11 posted on 12/27/2004 10:10:27 AM PST by Centurion2000 (Truth, Justice and the Texan Way)
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To: Centurion2000

That was May 2003.


12 posted on 12/27/2004 12:17:45 PM PST by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: RightWhale

I was talking about how they are saying it has been a mild winter....

I wonder who they are trying to kid....

My parents have had 5 days below zero in Ohio already....


13 posted on 12/27/2004 8:01:26 PM PST by MikefromOhio (14 days until I can leave Iraq and stop selling hot dogs in Baghdad....and boycotting boycotts)
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To: moonman
How much are we paying for a gallon of gas?
14 posted on 12/27/2004 8:04:59 PM PST by ddtorque
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To: MikeinIraq

Zero is easy weather. 20 below is when it starts running the heat bill up. Add some wind and the furnace will be going constantly. We had one day of 30 below so far, but Jan and Feb are known as the cold months. So far everything is normal, snow, temperature, wind, everything.


15 posted on 12/28/2004 9:18:18 AM PST by RightWhale (Destroy the dark; restore the light)
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To: RightWhale

Zero is easy weather.




LOL

no in Ohio. that is when everyone turns on their gas or oil furnaces full blast....


16 posted on 12/28/2004 8:05:16 PM PST by MikefromOhio (13 days until I can leave Iraq and stop selling hot dogs in Baghdad....and boycotting boycotts)
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