I have been saying and continue to believe that the world is returning to something like the pre WW1 configuration. All kinds of weird alliances, with serveral major powers all jocking for position. One big mistake and BAM, it's WW3.
Yeah we should trek carefully... in M.E. if we leave there is surely going to be a massive war for the iraqui oil.but you overestimate the other powers.. europe is in terminal decline , they simply dont have the spirit of warfare anymore.