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Latinos Support Kerry By Wide Margin (67.4%)
William C. Vazquez Institute ^ | 11/3/2004 | Michael Bustamante

Posted on 11/05/2004 7:00:19 AM PST by curiosity

Los Angeles, CA – Latino voters, staying true to form nationally in the presidential election, supported democratic presidential candidate John Kerry over President George W. Bush by a margin of 67.7% to 31.4%, an increase in support over the 2000 presidential election, according to a national exit survey conducted by the William C. Velasquez Institute (WCVI). For the 2000 presidential election, then Vice President Al Gore received between 62% and 68% support among Latinos, according to three different national exit surveys. Then-governor George W. Bush received between 29% and 37% Latino support from the same surveys.

“Nationally, Latinos continued their historic voting patterns, siding with the democratic challenger over the President by familiar margins, a little more than 2-to-1,” said Antonio Gonzalez, president of the William C. Velasquez Institute (WCVI). “President Bush tried unsuccessfully to increase his support among Latinos. The democrats’ message appears to have resonated with Latinos.”

Looking at a select number of Congressional races around the country, the WCVI exit survey found that Latinos preferred democratic candidates over their republican counterparts by a margin of 67.5% to 30.3%, a significant sign of support for democratic Congressional candidates. The WCVI exit survey interviewed 1,021 respondents in 56 precincts across 14 states.

In determining the results for the presidential race, the WCVI exit survey interviewed 1,179 respondents in 56 precincts across 14 states on Election Day. The states where the exit surveys were conducted include Florida, Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, California, Texas, New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Massachusetts, and Connecticut. These states represent over 90 percent of the national Latino vote.

About the William C. Velasquez Institute Chartered in 1985, the William C. Velasquez Institute is a nonpartisan, non-profit, Latino-oriented research and policy think tank with offices in San Antonio, Texas and Los Angeles, California. For more information regarding WCVI, please visit our website at www.wcvi.org.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: aliens; bush; election; hispanics; immigration; kerry; latinovote
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This exit poll seems to contradict the findings of the media exit polls, which said Kerry only got 55% of hispanics.
1 posted on 11/05/2004 7:00:20 AM PST by curiosity
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To: curiosity

Who did this survey? John Zogby?


2 posted on 11/05/2004 7:01:13 AM PST by Patrick1
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To: curiosity

They just keep trying to convince themselves.....


3 posted on 11/05/2004 7:01:39 AM PST by anniegetyourgun
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To: Patrick1

The William Vazquez institute. I'm not sure whether it's more reliable than the media exit polls, but it is different.


4 posted on 11/05/2004 7:02:16 AM PST by curiosity
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To: curiosity

Maybe they should go hold his hand in defeat and kiss Teresa's butt.


5 posted on 11/05/2004 7:02:40 AM PST by dc-zoo
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To: curiosity

Is Michael Bustamante any relation to Cruz? That would explain a lot.


6 posted on 11/05/2004 7:03:09 AM PST by Question Liberal Authority (THANK YOU, FREEPERS for re-electing President George W. Bush!)
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To: curiosity

I would be interested to see how Bush did among Latino Women.


7 posted on 11/05/2004 7:04:37 AM PST by Mike Darancette (Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.)
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To: curiosity

This is BS. Republicans garnered over 40% of hispanic votes (closer to 45%).


8 posted on 11/05/2004 7:05:43 AM PST by Laserman
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To: Patrick1
The William Vazquez institute. I'm not sure whether it's more reliable than the media exit polls, but it is different.

From a previous post, it appears that it is sort of a "Jesse Jackson race hustler" for hispanics. It looks like they have a vested interest in claiming that hispanics are not moving into the Republican corner.

9 posted on 11/05/2004 7:06:09 AM PST by marktwain
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To: curiosity
Where do they get these numbers?

No survey stats?

No nuthin! Vapor-Trail Surveys!....

10 posted on 11/05/2004 7:07:29 AM PST by Red Badger (Give someone enough EU-ROPE and they will hang themselves......out of pure frustration......)
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To: Mike Darancette
I heard Bush was up by 40% among gay, disabled, Latino women. Strong showing.

We are on a roll, I tell you!

11 posted on 11/05/2004 7:08:25 AM PST by robertpaulsen
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To: curiosity
We all note the omission of the fact that this was far below what Gore got, so that Bush's very large increased support among Hispanics was a great part of his victory.

We wonder what country of Latin America this Institute would have us emulate. It's clear that they believe that we need to be more like a banana republic. Such scholarship and integrity -- it's almost like Mexico itself.

12 posted on 11/05/2004 7:10:41 AM PST by AmericanVictory (Should we be more like them, or they like us?)
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To: curiosity

Welcome to FR. Why would anyone even be visiting that site anyway?


13 posted on 11/05/2004 7:10:46 AM PST by bayourod (Specter's litmus test : "No Christian Judges")
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To: curiosity

More polling lies...........GIVE IT UP.........


14 posted on 11/05/2004 7:17:13 AM PST by OldFriend (PRAY FOR POWERS EQUAL TO THE TASKS)
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To: curiosity

That's us latinos....somehow dem's convinced many of latinos (not me certainly) that they need the government support to survive oppression from whites. Plus, culture is different: we tend to want everything for free, and we tend to be lazy. LATINOS wake up to this great country and make your contribution!!!!.


15 posted on 11/05/2004 7:28:08 AM PST by angelanddevil2
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"Florida, Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, California, Texas, New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Massachusetts, and Connecticut"

Lets see: 6 Red vs 8 Blue states.

And I seriously doubt they polled people in California outside of Los Angeles. The inland empire latinos are nowhere near as blue as their urban counterparts.


16 posted on 11/05/2004 7:41:22 AM PST by xusafflyer (Keep paying those taxes California. Mexico thanks you.)
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To: curiosity

If a chimpanzee were to score 70 on an IQ test it would hardly qualify as mentally retarded. By the same token, 30 percent of the Hispanic vote, given the immigrant status of many Hispanics, isn't anything to sneeze at. Hispanics are coming into this country and moving into the mainstream. The trend politically will be increasingly toward the center and even the right as they assimilate. The 30 percent figure is absolutely nothing for Democrats to crow about. They should be very, very concerned.


17 posted on 11/05/2004 8:09:52 AM PST by Mr Ramsbotham ("Ich glaube, du hast in die hosen geschissen!")
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To: Mr Ramsbotham
If this poll is right (and that's a big if), then Kerry did better among latinos than Gore. Recall, Bush got something around 35% of the Latino vote last time.
18 posted on 11/05/2004 8:16:51 AM PST by curiosity
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To: OldFriend
So you're going to believe the media exit polls that were calling the election for Kerry?

I'm not saying this poll is right. I don't know to form an opinion. But I also think the other polls showing 45% Latino support for Bush are also highly suspect.

I'm just posting this for general interest.

19 posted on 11/05/2004 8:18:39 AM PST by curiosity
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To: AmericanVictory
We all note the omission of the fact that this was far below what Gore got, so that Bush's very large increased support among Hispanics was a great part of his victory.

Actually, it's more than Gore got, if the 67.4% figure is right. The media exit polls are showing a 55% figure, which is a lot worse than Gore. I don't know which one is right. I'm just posting this because a lot of people are aware of the media exit polls but not of this exit poll, which contradicts it.

Given that the media exit polls were way off on calling the election, we should not be treating them as gospel truth.

20 posted on 11/05/2004 8:21:41 AM PST by curiosity
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