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A Nuclear 9/11 could shut us down. a nuclear 9/11 could shut us down
Opinion Editorials ^ | 15 Oct 2004 | Rachel Neuwirth

Posted on 10/16/2004 12:55:45 PM PDT by Anduril1

A Nuclear 9/11 Could Shut Us Down — Commentary

October 15, 2004 Rachel Neuwirth

In our war on terror, the enemy is now positioning to strike America from yet another direction and with a potentially fatal blow, with many thanks to France. The 9/11 Commission pointed out that our biggest failure was ''a failure of imagination.'' That is, our thinking lagged the evolving reality and our key leaders failed to grasp the possibility of such a daring attack and hence we were caught unprepared. We not only failed to imagine such a scenario but we also underestimated the enemyís intent and its capabilities even as we also ignored those people who tried to warn us about our exposure.

Americans already anticipate a variety of possible internal terror threats and we hope and assume that our government is on the job. But now another ominous warning comes from Professor Howard Bloom. He is a visiting scholar at the Graduate Psychology Department at New York University, an author of two books and articles. If he is right, then there is an urgent need to understand this emerging threat and to respond in time.

After 9/11, President Bush asserted that Islam is a religion of peace and that we need to fight only that small minority of Moslems who are extremists. By now the term ''war on terror'' is gradually being replaced by terms like Islamism, Islamo-Fascism, Islamic extremism, etc. The actions of Moslems around the world, and even inside America, are raising disturbing questions about the mindset of large numbers of people within the greater Moslem community.

King Abdullah of Jordan, after the bombing of the train in Madrid, Spain, made a brief but significant comment. He said that the real conflict was going on within the Moslem world and it was between the moderates and the extremists. He did not say who is winning. This is part of the big picture that the west does not fully understand and hence it is not providing a sufficiently effective response.

Professor Bloom, on his web site addresses Islamic intent and also the rapidly emerging Islamic military capability. This article will summarize both issues from his web site and also include remarks from his lengthy radio interview on the Art Bell show of August 21, 2004.

Islamic Intent

Professor Bloom reviews Islamic history from the time of Mohammed to the present. On his website, www.howardbloom.net, click on ''Islam's War Against the West'' for a sweeping historic overview. Professor Bloom has also studied the lengthy messages issued by Osama bin Laden. The media quotes only a very small part of his statement without reporting that he periodically delivers his long and detailed philosophy of confrontation with the west. Bloom also has contacts from various parts of the Moslem community who provide him with additional insights.

Professor Bloom argues that the extremists are working diligently to radicalize the moderates just as King Abdullah had said. Osama bin Laden is emerging as a heroic leader among vast parts of the Islamic world. Bin Laden teaches that the present life is brief and transitory and of limited value. What is important is to prepare for the eternity of the after-life where true Moslems will find eternal paradise and unbelievers will find eternal hell. Islam is the only true religion and all other belief systems and religions are wrong, even evil. Moslems must all work and sacrifice to make Islam the one religion for all humanity. On this there is no discussion, only acceptance.

Bin Laden also teaches that west and its institutions are all decadent. Freedom, democracy, women's rights, man-made laws, popular culture, etc. are all acts by infidels that must be erased. The west exploits its women who appear in public, dressing and acting immodestly. The place for women is to be protected, in the home, having many children to out-populate the west with its low birth rates.

The decadent west is weak and cannot take pain, sacrifice, and casualties. The true Moslem will glory in martyrdom for it assures eternal bliss.

We deterred the Soviet Union during the cold war with a policy of mutually assured destruction (MAD). Neither side wanted to die and this doctrine of massive retaliation did deter both sides from launching a first strike. That concept of deterrence does not apply to the Moslem fundamentalists. According to Osama bin Laden he would even welcome the deaths of countless millions of Moslems in the process of toppling western civilization. These Moslems believe there are actually two billion Moslems in the world (rather than the 1.2 generally accepted) and even the loss of 500 million would still leave 1.5 billion, plus they have a high birth rate and can readily replace their losses.

The radicals also believe that this is their time in history to flex their growing power and to crush a decadent west and also to settle the score for all past grievances, both real and imagined. For them there is nothing to negotiate. The infidels will be given a choice. They can convert to Islam and accept Sharia law or they might be allowed to live as second class non-Moslems if they pay a heavy tax. For those who refuse the first two choices the Moslems have a religious obligation to kill the infidels. And fellow Moslems who deviate too far from Sharia law must also be punished, possibly with death. And no Moslem, either a convert or by birth, is allowed to forsake Islam for another belief--the punishment is death, even if a father must kill a son or a daughter.

This is a brief summary of Islamic intent according to Professor Bloom, an intent that cannot be deterred by any amount of retaliation. Note that the basic drive of radical Islam does not stem from the Arab-Israeli conflict as some commentators would have us believe. And appeasement also does not work because nothing short of total conversion to Islam is acceptable, with the limited exception of inferior status and a heavy tax.

But intent is only as dangerous as the capability it can mobilize. We have already seen 9/11, plus ongoing suicide attacks throughout the Middle East and in other parts of the world. Now it is time to examine some far more extreme possibilities.

Islamic Military Capability

On web site www.howardbloom.net on ''Dodging the nuclear 9/11.'' Following is a summary but it is advisable to visit the site and also view photos of the stealth submarine. France has developed an advanced diesel powered submarine. It was designed to run super quiet and escape detection by the current sensors placed by the U.S. along the bottoms of the oceans. It carries 16 cruise missiles that can deliver nuclear warheads. It can travel about 12,000 miles from home and remain submerged, and undetected, for up to 60 days.

France sold the first submarine to Pakistan about four years ago. But Pakistan does not require this weapon system for an adequate defense against India, its main rival. This stealth submarine is capable of striking coastal cities almost anywhere in the world. Pakistan also induced France to show the Pakistanis how to build a shipyard where they have already built their second submarine. In 18 months Pakistan will have its third stealth submarine.

Professor Bloom reminds us that the Moslems in Pakistan are highly radicalized--not all Moslems, but a very significant percentage. He also reminds us that historically a small number of radicals can seize control of a government away from the majority. It has happened before, in the 1930's with both Germany and Japan, for example. He explains that Pakistani ''moderation,'' and that government, today depends very much on the survival of one leader, President Pervez Musharef.

We recently learned that even under the ''moderate'' Musharef, Pakistan was proliferating nuclear weapons technology to other Moslem regimes. Bloom argues that bin Laden might wait until submarine number three is ready to then topple Musharef, seize power, and acquire Pakistan's 40+ nuclear warheads for mounting on the submarine's cruise missiles.

At this point we will have ''intent plus capability.'' Osama bin Laden could then direct these submarines to incinerate some of our coastal cities such as Boston, New York, Washington, San Francisco, Los Angeles, etc. And in case we had any ideas about retaliation we could be advised that they have a lot more nukes ready to launch in case we do not immediately surrender.

The reader might well think that all this is pure nonsense. America is the worldís greatest superpower and while we cannot be 100% safe, it is still largely unthinkable to us (''a lack of imagination'') that those third world extremists could possibly mount a knockout blow of this magnitude.

Prof. Bloom has discussed all this with our intelligence people. Some take it seriously, some are highly skeptical and others say not to worry because our government is monitoring the situation. As Prof. Bloom says on his web site: ''9/11 woke us up, a nuclear 9/11 could shut us down.''

Americans need to be asking tough questions of our government right now and demanding straight answers. What in the world is France doing selling these stealth submarines to Pakistan? Why does Pakistan need such a dangerous weapons system when it makes no sense regarding any threat from India? Why is the U.S. government allowing this potential threat to develop?

Now even Iran appears more confident and is becoming bolder as it moves rapidly towards long range nuclear capability. There are new threats by Iran to pre-empt and strike Israel and also American interests in the region and possibly beyond.

The stakes keep getting higher and higher. We cannot afford a nuclear 9/11 but realistically what are the chances that America will act in time? History is not encouraging. Never mind the bumbling and appeasement leading up to World War II and fifty million dead. After the bitter lessons of that horrendous conflict we still failed to completely block the proliferation of nuclear weapons to smaller rogue nations although we tried and we did slow down the process for a time. Twice we failed to stop Saddam Hussein from seeking nuclear weapons. First, in 1981 it was Israel, and not us, that neutralized the Osiraq reactor. Second, after the first Gulf War we discovered Saddam Hussein was close to having a nuclear weapon. We had fought only to evict him from Kuwait and not because we were adequately aware of his nuclear progress. We were very lucky! We bungled in dealing with the north Koreans who now have acquired both nukes and missiles. We failed to stop Pakistan from going nuclear and now we learn that Pakistan was also proliferating nuclear technology to other Arab states and to Iran. Today we observe a defiant Iran rushing to mass produce nuclear weapons and we continue to dither with no clear firm plan for action as of this writing. And there are reports that Egypt, Syria and Saudi Arabia have shown some interest in also going nuclear.

And the longer we wait the weaker we look and the bolder become the rogue states in their quest for nuclear weapons. Whatever effort it would now take to stop Iran, Pakistan and North Korea, it will take far more effort next year. But where will America's fortitude come from? We are politically divided at home with half the country hating President Bush and candidate John Kerry not offering to form a united national front on this issue. Although western Europe is certainly nervous over Iran they have shown insufficient resolve to act decisively together with America. The U.N. has not shown the needed resolve. And Russia and China are acting to undermine American security in pursuit of their own imperial interests.

If the picture looks ominous it is not because all the good news is being withheld. Some will complain and attack the messenger. But are we better off pretending that this massive danger does not exist? This story is not a secret. There are a lot of people among our leadership who purport to be wise and courageous. Now is their time to come forward and lead this nation

###

Rachel Neuwirth, an internationally recognized, political commentator and analyst. She specializes in Middle Eastern Affairs with particular emphasis on Militant Islam and Israeli foreign policy. She has been published in prominent news papers of Europe, Asia and the US. She is frequently quoted by reputable Media.

http://www.opinioneditorials.com/guestcontributors/rneuwirth_20041015.html

+>==<================>Anduril 1


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: jihadinamerica; nukes
The need for President Bush's policy of pre-emptive action is made abundently clear in this commentary
1 posted on 10/16/2004 12:55:46 PM PDT by Anduril1
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To: Anduril1

And Lurch wants to send the Ayatollahs nuclear fuel so Iran can be pacified. Then, give Kim Jung Il more money for food so he can hide his nuclear program.

Makes you want to go screaming into the night, doesn't it?


2 posted on 10/16/2004 1:09:04 PM PDT by OpusatFR (Let me repeat this: the web means never having to swill leftist garbage again. Got it?)
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To: Anduril1

What security level are we now, anyway.....
YELLOW, ORANGE ?


3 posted on 10/16/2004 1:10:42 PM PDT by traumer
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To: Anduril1
B.S. We can't afford to divert precious taxpayer dollars to pursue these high tech doomsday scenarios.

The real terrorist threat is the billions of illegal Meskin aliens who ILLEGALLY crawl for days across barren mountainous deserts, dragging their weedwackers behind them to ILLEGALLY enter the U.S. every day.

Have you ever thought about the damage a dozen ILLEGAL Meskin terrorists could do to a subdivision with their gas burning weedwhackers? You wanna talk bomb? Talk about the brown population bomb. They don't even speak English or have drivers licenses but they still take all the best jobs that Americans are waiting in line to get.

Did I mention that they are ILLEGAL?

4 posted on 10/16/2004 1:13:53 PM PDT by bayourod (You were had, Ted.)
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To: Anduril1

> ... bin Laden might wait until submarine number three
> is ready to then topple Musharef, seize power, and
> acquire Pakistan's 40+ nuclear warheads for mounting
> on the submarine's cruise missiles.

Problems abound in the article, but the above is
instructive of several:

a. bin Laden is not running anything but his own feet
right now, and may well have been dead for some time.
Anyone including this bogeyman in scenarios is obliged
to include some proof that bin Laden matters.

b. If Pak falls to the cutthroat cultists, the Pak subs
may well be sunk right where they are the same day.

c. Pak's warheads are almost certainly too bulky and
heavy to mate to torpedo-size cruise missiles.

d. Even if they could be so mated, the USN knows 24x7
exactly where all the Pak subs are at any time. If the
subs survive the coup, and they ever get within cruise
range of the US, they will quietly disappear before
rising to launch depth.

e. Anyone with access to a functioning nuke is going to
bring it here by means other than traditional weapons
delivery systems.

f. But if Kerry gets elected, all bets are off.


5 posted on 10/16/2004 1:14:07 PM PDT by Boundless
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To: Anduril1

Is this the kind of post the one poster complained about - doom and gloom ? Hope that person doesn't read this article then -

From the post: "The place for women is to be protected, in the home, having many children to out-populate the west with its low birth rates."

This may be true -

From the post: "The decadent west is weak and cannot take pain, sacrifice, and casualties. The true Moslem will glory in martyrdom for it assures eternal bliss."

Well gosh - wonder how we got to the point where we cannot take pain, sacrifice, and casualties - ? Indoctrination by the major media and the Socialist Democrats perhaps - ?

Leaves one wondering just which groups are working "together" - where one does the work - and the other takes advantage of the situation.

And wouldn't the new missile defense go a long way in putting down the threat from the subs. - just wondering -

I know the Socialist Democrats held this defense up for the longest time - when they were in control of Congress or had enough members to keep it back from a vote -


6 posted on 10/16/2004 1:16:34 PM PDT by Pastnowfuturealpha
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To: traumer

Most of the country is yellow, with specific facilities in certain cities on orange.


7 posted on 10/16/2004 1:46:43 PM PDT by Kirkwood (I think, therefore I am Republican!)
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To: Pastnowfuturealpha
Hopefully, the Pentagon and Intel agencies are considering and war gaming all possible scenarios.  After all, being paranoid and imagining the wildest possible situations is what the job description of SOME of their analysts should include, and the analysis then compared to known events and intel.   Government's basic function is to protect it's citizens and way of life.  Therefore, being prepared is paramount.

We have all heard about the Pentagon's extremely powerful war gaming computers.  I hope that our intel agencies have the same type of systems to analyze political scenarios of other countries and potential outcomes and effect on us and the rest of the world . 

I hope that these systems are constantly upgraded and programmed by our best and brightest.  In addition, our intel structure MUST gear up to provide accurate info from within every other country and whatever covert actions necessary to protect us. 

We must acknowledge a new cold (as well as hot) war exists.  A behind the scenes intel gathering and covert actions to protect our country is mandatory and we can't let 'political correctness' dictate 'acceptable' actions.  Sometimes brutal actions are necessary. 

Only a strong willed, determined leader can protect us in this dangerous time.  President Bush is that leader.  I believe that Senator Kerry would fold and surrender to our enemies, just like he did in Viet Nam.  

Americans must have the will and determination to prevail and stand by President Bush, even if some mistakes are made, and especially if we take some casualties at home or abroad.  Casualties are inevitable in a time of war and we must not let the weak and fearful determine our course. 

Considering all possible scenarios and being prepared with the proper response or pre-emptive action is absolutely the correct course of action.  I believe that President Bush will provide the best possible preparation and defense.

FReegards,

Rebel Flag Texas Flag
RebelTex

8 posted on 10/16/2004 2:02:35 PM PDT by RebelTex (Freedom is Everyone's Right... ...and Everyone's Responsibility!)
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To: Anduril1
Stealth Muslim Submarines is an oxymaroon.

Calls to prayer being blasted over the intercom and atop the conning tower five times a day ain't exactly stealth.

Our anti-missile missiles defense system deployment needs to be put on hold and the scientists and technicians reassigned to the Southern border to patrol for ILLEGAL aliens breaking the law to take roofing jobs away from real Americans who now must seek solis in ice houses all day while their ole ladies have to dance to pay the the rent and make note payments on the pickup.

9 posted on 10/16/2004 2:14:59 PM PDT by bayourod (You were had, Ted.)
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To: bayourod
Our anti-missile missiles defense system deployment needs to be put on hold and the scientists and technicians reassigned to the Southern border to patrol for ILLEGAL aliens breaking the law to take roofing jobs away from real Americans who now must seek solis in ice houses all day while their ole ladies have to dance to pay the the rent and make note payments on the pickup.

Hey bayourod, take your damn Race Card and shove it where the sun don't shine.

10 posted on 10/16/2004 2:24:44 PM PDT by usadave
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To: Boundless

You also have to factor India's reaction into the equation. India might just go after the PAK fleet if there appears to be any instability.


11 posted on 10/16/2004 2:32:53 PM PDT by Tallguy (If the Kerry campaign implodes any further, they'll reach the point of "singularity" by election day)
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To: bayourod

I think you've finally lost your mind.


12 posted on 10/16/2004 2:38:18 PM PDT by monkeywrench
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To: Anduril1
Bloom argues that bin Laden might wait until submarine number three is ready to then topple Musharef, seize power, and acquire Pakistan's 40+ nuclear warheads for mounting on the submarine's cruise missiles.

Five minutes after Pakistan fell to an Islamic fundamentalist government, India would turn Pakistan into a glowing crater.

13 posted on 10/16/2004 2:41:58 PM PDT by Modernman (Giving money and power to government is like giving whiskey and car keys to teenage boys. - P.J.)
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To: Anduril1

BTTT


14 posted on 10/16/2004 7:38:44 PM PDT by spodefly (A torpid disinclination negates the inclusion of a tagline with this post.)
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To: spodefly

BTTT


15 posted on 10/16/2004 7:44:32 PM PDT by RebelTex (Freedom is Everyone's Right... ...and Everyone's Responsibility!)
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