Skip to comments.10 Reasons to Predict a Bush Win (Long, but a Good Read!)
Posted on 10/15/2004 5:42:59 AM PDT by TonyInOhio
click here to read article
He does better number crunching than anyone I've seen, save Dales, who does it in a different way.
Bookmarking for later.
Ohio will choose Bush big time, but in reality, Kerry might 'take' the state. We have four counties with more registered voters than citizens who are eligible to vote. Ohio isn't alone. Last election cycle, had the elections been on the up-and-up, Bush would have taken more states. I believe it was Philly or another big city in Pa. that had more blacks voting than they had blacks registered. Yet, it was the democrats who hollered foul! They are doing it again. The media isn't going after this story and it is the most important issue of the elections because it has the potential to undermine every election we have from now on. We are in deep dung if that should happen. Terrorism won't be the problem; our own people will be.
Good analysis. Now make it easy by delivering Ohio to Bush!
I agree that more registered voters than population in some counties are a problem. But Ohio Secretary of State, Ken Blackwell's office has to be able to reconcile that against something to see that its false.
I think we've seen massive fraud "attempts", but I dont know how that equates to actual votes. The Secreatry of Ststes office, whose job it is to take care of Ohio voting has got to be on the lookout for fraud and they have to have a way to find and deal with it. It would be ridiculous to think they wouldn't consider it may happen.
I don't think I'm being overly optomistic when I say that President Bush will extend his Ohio lead before the election and Ohio will be firmly Red on election day.
Everyone knows, a vote for Kerry will definately raise your taxes...he won't/can't keep his word about that...plus we know he's weak on defense.....he can't hide from that record either.
With President Bush, we KNOW we'll get tax cuts and we KNOW he's strong on defense. Its a no-brainer.
Working on it - I've volunteered for phone banking this year.
My county delivered the highest winning margin for President Bush of all 88 Ohio counties in 2000, so I have to do a little driving to help my neighbors see the light. :)
Interesting. My optimism has wavered as much as the polls but this is a very thorough analysis.
Let's hope it's correct!
Ken Blackwell is doing a lot in Ohio to combat fraud.
Blackwell for Governor!
"Florida also seems out-of-play this year for reasons I have already delineated (increased GOP registration)"
Do you have a source for this? According to the latest numbers from the FL Secretary of State, the Democrats have out-registered the Republicans in FL by 813 voters as of August.
That was 2 months ago, though. Since then, from everything I've read, the anecdotal reports have indicated a surge in Democratic registrations, but I've seen no official numbers on this.
What county is that?
I live in Summit county. Summit is deep blue every election year. I don't even think Reagan won this county in '84!
The Northern third of Ohio is the only reason it's even competitive for the Democrats. Most of the southern and central urban areas, Columbus, Dayton, Cincy are Democrat in the cities, as one would expect but with a large Republican majority in the small towns and suburbs. In the northern part of the state, even small towns like Ravenna, Salem, and a lot of the inner Akron and Cleveland suburbs have Democrat mayors and such thanks to the unions.
I'm in Allen County and at the time of the last election, we didn't have one democrat in office. We voted all the liberals out. Now, there is a creepy guy on the radio trashing conservatives all over the place, riling the people. He's a spinner, vulgar, and really an odd duck, who should be sitting home on Medicare or Medicaid, but his liberal buddies are just as stupid, as well as the radio station who allows this hocus-pocus sham of a show.
Allen County...Lima area, right?
Lima, Yes! Though I moved out of the city limits a few years ago.
They will come up with things we could not have dreamed of, stoop to depths we could not have imagined. It has already started. Two examples; Edwards says Kerry will make the lame walk and Kerry brings up Mary Cheney.
This area (Trumbull, Mahoning, Columbiana) will go for Kerry. The unions will make sure of that. There are quite a few Bush/Cheney signs, out and about. The NRA came to Warren to announce their endorsement for the President. I hope the gun owners, even if union members, can see the light.
That would be Dennis Shreefer. Fear not - his ratings are so low that only his toothless band of freaks is listening to him anyway. :) One of the genuine pleasures of the day is turning off WIMA when Rush is over.
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