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Very interesting that Zogby did so badly in 2002.
1 posted on 10/12/2004 2:56:45 PM PDT by MarlboroRed
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To: MarlboroRed

Undersetimate for loser in 2000 = no way to poll for vote fraud


2 posted on 10/12/2004 3:00:14 PM PDT by BenLurkin (We have low inflation and and low unemployment.)
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To: MarlboroRed

i thought rasmussen had the closest one for "00? Any idea about them?


3 posted on 10/12/2004 3:02:29 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature
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To: MarlboroRed

Yep, I would think the more pertinent question would be which pollsters were closest in 2002...in a post 9/11 world.

Conventional wisdom was that the Republicans would lose seats because they were in the WH, but just the opposite happened. Did any of the pollsters pick up that trend pre 2002 election results?


4 posted on 10/12/2004 3:02:50 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: MarlboroRed
I got a call on my answering machine from a Quinipac pollster.
Should I be happy or sad that I missed the call?
5 posted on 10/12/2004 3:04:04 PM PDT by Slyfox
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To: MarlboroRed
Very interesting that Zogby did so badly in 2002.

He completely changed his poll methodology after 2000.

8 posted on 10/12/2004 3:05:37 PM PDT by AndyTheBear (Disastrous social experiments are the opiate of elitist snobs.)
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To: MarlboroRed
Could we rename the Title please?

"Of All The Steaming Turds Out There, Which Turd Stinks Less?"?

15 posted on 10/12/2004 3:15:04 PM PDT by ez2muz
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To: MarlboroRed

TOP FIVE in 2000!
Zogby underestimated Bush by 2, had Gore accurate.

Washington Post had Bush accurate, Gore underestimated by 3.

Pew underestimated Bush by 2; underestimated Gore by 5.

Newsweek underestimated Bush by 3; underestimated Gore by 5.

NBC/Wall Street Journal underestimated Bush by 1; underestimated Gore by 4.




Maybe some polsters are better at national races(Zogby)
and other polsters are better at statewide races(Mason/Dixon)


16 posted on 10/12/2004 3:18:39 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: MarlboroRed

Has it been determined that the Bush DUI actually had an impact on the campaign?


20 posted on 10/12/2004 3:20:55 PM PDT by dfdemar
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To: MarlboroRed

I think that this is a great business to get in to. You can be wrong 100% of the time and still get paid!

I think the real pro's of polling work internally for the candidates and have the numbers dead on.

During the next 20 days it will be very interesting to see where the candidates hold rally's.

I've offered my home on Maui to 'W' for his use to win Hawaii! LOL!


21 posted on 10/12/2004 3:21:36 PM PDT by Kahuna
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To: MarlboroRed
"Note that the DUI appeared to have a very late-breaking effect on Bush’s level of support."

The mediawhores did it once. They'll definitely do it again (see: Rather, Dan). At least the DUI was real. It can be a fabrication this time. It doesn't need to be true. It just needs to get Kerry elected. I've posted this theory several times on various threads over the past months. These people will stop at nothing. My guess is the Thursday before the election.

23 posted on 10/12/2004 3:40:09 PM PDT by wny
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bump


26 posted on 10/12/2004 4:24:01 PM PDT by eureka! (It will not be safe to vote Democrat for a long, long, time...)
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To: MarlboroRed

Harris has been the closest historically.


28 posted on 10/12/2004 4:46:50 PM PDT by Lady Heron
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