I do recall reading in 2000 that Bush only needed Penn, Minn, or Wisconsin to seal the victory. I remember replying that mathematically, he could win without any of them, but it would be pretty. And it sure as heck wasn't.
TS
The polls in Oct. 2000 were all over the map with Gore and Bush both ahead at times by double digits.
What probably did Bush the most harm was the DUI October surprise and then the premature calling of Florida (and basically the election) for Gore. The DUI story caused a bunch of the holier than thou Christians to stay home and the premature calling of Florida cost Bush not only votes in the Florida Panhandle but probably cost him New Mexico, Wisconsin, and Oregon.
Yes, but don't forget the drunk driving surprise. That had a big impact on evangelicals. Also, four years ago we didn't know that Dan Rather was a democratic operative and could sway votes in the Florida panhandle by calling that election early.