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New York: Kerry 49% Bush 44% (Rasmussen poll -- more detail)
Rasmussen ^ | Sept. 20, 2004 | Rasmussen

Posted on 09/20/2004 3:22:47 PM PDT by QQQQQ

September 20, 2004--John Kerry's lead in New York is down to single digits. The Empire State, among the bluest of the Blue States from Election 2000, is still in the Kerry column for our Electoral College projections, but the raw numbers are stunning.

Confirming findings found in other recent polls, Rasmussen Reports shows John Kerry leading George Bush by merely five percentage points, 49% to 44%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry New York by a 25 point margin. Our last New York survey found Kerry up by 19 points.

Bush is also closer than expected in neighboring New Jersey.

Rudy Giuliani, Mayor of New York on 9/11 and one of the nation's most popular political figures, strongly endorsed the President at the Republican National Convention. That may be connected to the President's rise in the state's Election Polls.

Nearly a quarter of the state's Democrats now say they will vote for Bush.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of New Yorkers now Approve of the President's Job Performance. That's a six-point increase since our last survey in the state.


TOPICS: Front Page News; US: New York
KEYWORDS: bluestate; kewl; poll; polls
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I think this is remarkable. Can you imagine nearly a quarter of the liberal Dems in NY actually planning to vote for Bush? I hope there will be even more of them doing that on election day.

Looks like Giuliani, Pataki and Ed Koch are making a difference.

1 posted on 09/20/2004 3:22:47 PM PDT by QQQQQ
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To: QQQQQ

OMG this is incredible! It has always been double digits in NY for Kerry!


2 posted on 09/20/2004 3:23:47 PM PDT by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: QQQQQ

F'in AMAZING!


3 posted on 09/20/2004 3:25:48 PM PDT by cmsgop ( Bong Hits, Fraggle Rock Reruns and DU is no way to go through Life.......... I)
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To: QQQQQ

This is why I dont trust Rasmussen, he has Bush surging 14 points in NY, but the national poll still has him up only 2 or 3. If Bush is doing so well here, where is he doing 14 points worse?


4 posted on 09/20/2004 3:26:04 PM PDT by keyesguy
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To: QQQQQ

By the time the election comes around, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Oregon, New Mexico, and others will no longer be "battleground states". Instead they will be New York, New Jersey, Maryland, California, Washington, and Massachusetts.


5 posted on 09/20/2004 3:26:41 PM PDT by counterpunch (The CouNTeRPuNcH Collection - www.counterpunch.us)
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To: Bonaparte
Click here, please!
6 posted on 09/20/2004 3:27:39 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma
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To: QQQQQ

How am I doing?

7 posted on 09/20/2004 3:27:45 PM PDT by billorites (freepo ergo sum)
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To: areafiftyone

Which begs the question why if even in Ny bush is this close that Rasmussens national poll numbers are showing basically a dead heat. Rasmussen needs to figure that out.


8 posted on 09/20/2004 3:30:10 PM PDT by aft_lizard (I actually voted for John Kerry before I voted against him)
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To: QQQQQ

How can Rasmussen have Bush up by 4 nationally and only down by 5 in NY?

This doesn't compute.


9 posted on 09/20/2004 3:30:32 PM PDT by tomahawk
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To: billorites

The DU are expecting some good poll numbers coming from PA. They got the information from a Kerry campaign official.

Wait till they see this Maryland poll.


10 posted on 09/20/2004 3:30:49 PM PDT by sarasotarepublican
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To: QQQQQ

That's it. A few months ago I stated that the question wasn't if Bush would win, but whether it would be a solid majority or a landslide.

Now I'm predicting landslide!


11 posted on 09/20/2004 3:31:53 PM PDT by DakotaGator
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To: billorites

Has anyone seen Koch on the campaign trail? We need him in New York. Calling Mayor Koch.


12 posted on 09/20/2004 3:32:27 PM PDT by sarasotarepublican
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To: tomahawk

It would make sense if only if President Bush is gaining only or mostly in the blue states.


13 posted on 09/20/2004 3:33:32 PM PDT by Ingtar (Understanding is a three-edged sword : your side, my side, and the truth in between ." -- Kosh)
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To: sarasotarepublican

They are just deluded. The good numbers they see will be for W. Put the DU on suicide watch.


14 posted on 09/20/2004 3:34:34 PM PDT by DarthVader (John Kerry is really Janet Reno dressed up as a man.)
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To: sarasotarepublican

Must be an internal poll cos today, MSNBC is supposed to come out with Blue state polls. Is PA considered a blue state?


15 posted on 09/20/2004 3:36:22 PM PDT by bushsupporter30
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To: bushsupporter30

MSNBSC trust not!!!!


16 posted on 09/20/2004 3:37:10 PM PDT by DarthVader (John Kerry is really Janet Reno dressed up as a man.)
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To: sarasotarepublican

If Kerry's people are leaking internals to there base ie: DU, then they are in real trouble or as VP Cheney would say big time. I would guess they are doing it to not scare the base, a kind of blue pill for the DUmmies.

The funny thing is they have a list up of "independent polls" there, among there list is Pew,ARG and others that are ran by democrats. Ahh to have drunk that kool-aid and look through the eyes of a loser.


17 posted on 09/20/2004 3:37:12 PM PDT by aft_lizard (I actually voted for John Kerry before I voted against him)
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To: QQQQQ

aw gee, dat's tough dat kerry might gotta spend some cash in newyawk


18 posted on 09/20/2004 3:38:24 PM PDT by InvisibleChurch
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To: DarthVader

If you look at DU, even CNN is a part of the vast Bush-Rove conspiracy!


19 posted on 09/20/2004 3:38:51 PM PDT by bushsupporter30
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To: QQQQQ
I as an upstate conservative find this hard to believe. We have some of the most left wing radical residents in the entire nation in the downstate area. If the Jewish population and Hispanic population of New York have turned on the democrats I sure haven't heard about it. If this is true in NY then Kerry might as well pack his bags for his French villa!
20 posted on 09/20/2004 3:42:49 PM PDT by gakrak
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