Stay Strong,
Fuzzy122
Posted on 08/29/2004 9:04:22 AM PDT by Nascardude
Sunday August 29, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.
This is the first time since the Democratic National Convention that Bush has been up by more than a single point in the Tracking Poll. It is the first time since June 12 that he has been up by three points.
Yesterday, for the first time all year, our projection showed Bush with an advantage in the Electoral College. We will be issuing another Electoral College update today at 3:00 p.m. Eastern.
Our current projection shows Bush with 200 Electoral Votes to 190 for Kerry. The magic number needed to reach the White House is 270 Electoral Votes. This is based upon a series of new state election polls from Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Missouri, and Ohio. Other recent state polls include Minnesota, California, Florida, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada.
Today's 3:00 p.m. update will be based upon new polling data from Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin.
Other survey data released today shows that just 21% of Americans believe the United Nations is our ally in the War on Terror. Public assessment of France is even bleaker.
Other data shows that most Americans discuss the War in Iraq with family, friends, and co-workers at least once a week.
Beginning September 1, Rasmussen Reports will expand our Tracking Poll to 1,000 Likely Voters per night. At the same time, we will increase the flow of information provided both on the public site and for our Premium Members.
Premium Service during the final two months of the campaign will include daily tracking for Florida, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. We will also provide frequent updates for many other states and key Senate races. Details on the Premium Member enhancements will be released this evening.
Supplemental data is available for
RR Premium Members.
Learn about Premium Membership
Premium Members can review data showing public preference for Bush or Kerry when it comes to taxes, Social Security, Education, Iraq, and Health Care.
Also, a survey conducted Monday and Tuesday night found that 45% of voters nationally say Bush is more honest and trustworthy than Kerry. Thirty-nine percent (39%) take the opposite view.
While debate has raged about past military service of the candidates, 46% of voters say that Bush has a better vision for the future of Iraq than Kerry. Thirty-eight percent (38%) say Kerry has a better vision for Iraq (Demographics are available for Premium Members).
Stay Strong,
Fuzzy122
But these are Kerrys Allies!
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
These poll results are going to be interesting. And yes, polls are starting to matter now as we approach Labor Day weekend - the true kickoff of the campaign season.
I'm especially interested in seeing Michigan, Pennsylvania and New Jersey. These are states that have been in the Kerry column all summer but I think they are very winnable by Bush. Yes, New Jersey. It will be interesting to see North Carolina too - Bush should be padding his lead there, all but eliminating Pretty Boy Edwards as a factor in this race.
Courage, why do your EV totals never add up to 538?
MOJO!
can't wait for tonight and also the new polling....although remember a slight shift in sampling would give better results for GW at this time and the pollsters may be playing with us so to show little bounce for Bush which would make great fighting news for the lefties and the media.......
The LA TIMES poll is a good example......Bush trailing for months yet one week before convention he is up....this staels the thunder of the GW BOUNCE story....
The Premise on the economy is still KEY - The GWB team needs to start getting ads on the economy out - Ads that just scroll over and over facts showing how our economy is booming - (I still believe the economy premise will decide the election) -
This is very good news the past few weeks - Kerry hasn't connected with the American public (this was a windfall for the GWB team...had Kerry connected...like Clinton did in 1992, we could have been in real trouble) -
But now since Kerry didn't connect the GWB team needs to hit a home-run on the economy issue and we are golden come Nov -
Not to mention the possibility that we bring in Al Zawahiri, Zarqawi or UBL before NOV as well -
Why is it the worse Bush gets the more popular he gets?
The Swifty Boat smear was horrible. Bush's speeches are moving into his crazed bully boy mode. Iraq's going downhill. The economy shows terrible statistics.
You'd think with all of that and more, Bush would be plummeting. Instead he is on an upswing.
I am bewildered. It seems the worse Bush gets and the more he wrecks the country, the more people like it.
Is this my imagination? I hope so.
Armstead
I'm afraid poor Armstead is terminally confused.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.