Wow. What leads you to THAT conclusion? I'm a Republican, but I'm a little skeptical of that assessment.
In an election it's better to be pessimistic and sprint hard to the finish line, than overly optimistic and casually stroll in.
ALWAYS PLAY LIKE YOU'RE 10 POINTS DOWN. NEVER BE TOO CONFIDENT.
Nothing more than a gut feeling. I remember all too well how the media was predicting the outcome of the Reagan/Mondale election, and then Reagan won 49 states. Of course, I also agree that it's best not to be overly optimistic.
Bump.