Skip to comments.
2004 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 5/3/2004
TradeSports.com ^
| Monday, May 3, 2004
| Momaw Nadon
Posted on 05/03/2004 9:41:55 AM PDT by Momaw Nadon
click here to read article
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-20, 21-39 next last
I went to
TradeSports.com which is a futures market in which people bet on the outcomes of various things.
According to the current trading prices of the futures contracts, an estimate can be found of what traders are betting will be the outcome of 2004 Presidential Election.
If the traders are correct, President Bush would receive 304 Electoral Votes and John Kerry would receive 234 Electoral Votes.
If the weighted probabilities of President Bush winning in the states are added up, and then divided by 538, and multiplied by 100, then President Bush should get 285.62 Electoral Votes.
270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the Presidency.
Opinions and commentary are welcome.
To: Momaw Nadon
2
posted on
05/03/2004 9:42:09 AM PDT
by
Momaw Nadon
(Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
To: Momaw Nadon
3
posted on
05/03/2004 9:42:49 AM PDT
by
Momaw Nadon
(Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
To: Momaw Nadon
BUMP!
4
posted on
05/03/2004 9:44:17 AM PDT
by
jmstein7
(Real Men Don't Need Chunks of Government Metal on Their Chests to be Heroes)
To: Momaw Nadon
Great post, and info, but you must reverse the coloring on the map...(G)
5
posted on
05/03/2004 9:46:25 AM PDT
by
ken5050
(Ann Coulter needs to have children ASAP to propagate her genes.....any volunteers?)
To: Momaw Nadon
Not very many close calls - Wisconsin, New Mexico, Iowa = 22 votes total.
6
posted on
05/03/2004 9:46:42 AM PDT
by
Izzy Dunne
(Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
To: ken5050
Well, I, for one, prefer the the commie rat
b@st@rds be shown in the Red they deserve.
7
posted on
05/03/2004 9:47:34 AM PDT
by
So Cal Rocket
(Fabrizio Quattrocchi: "Adesso vi faccio vedere come muore un italiano")
To: ken5050
The hell he does! I'm glad to see someone else who doesn't buy the post-2000 "Democrats = true blue; GOP = blood red" color scheme the partisan media agreed upon.
-Dan
8
posted on
05/03/2004 9:55:09 AM PDT
by
Flux Capacitor
(If the zombies arose today, would you be prepared?)
To: Momaw Nadon
Where did we lose 10 pts from last count? What state is now in the Red that was in the blue?
To: Integrityrocks
Wisconsin
10
posted on
05/03/2004 10:03:35 AM PDT
by
Momaw Nadon
(Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
To: ken5050
Actually, I think the incumbent is always blue.
11
posted on
05/03/2004 10:06:16 AM PDT
by
BSunday
(I'm not the bad guy, kid)
To: So Cal Rocket
"Well, I, for one, prefer the the commie rat
b@st@rds be shown in the Red they deserve."
I concur
was about to say the same but you beat me to it
12
posted on
05/03/2004 10:06:25 AM PDT
by
DM1
To: Momaw Nadon
interesting data. Missouri 65% of going to Bush. That about sums it up.
13
posted on
05/03/2004 10:06:27 AM PDT
by
rface
(Ashland, Missouri -)
To: Momaw Nadon
I dont know, my friend. That is a lot of swing states going Bush's way. I'd like to think they will, but it may be too much to hope for. I'm going to say Ohio would more likely be in Kerry's column. Possibly Pennsylvania as well.
Those would give the Presidency to Kerry.
14
posted on
05/03/2004 10:09:32 AM PDT
by
Lunatic Fringe
(John F-ing Kerry??? NO... F-ING... WAY!!!)
To: Flux Capacitor
What about:
Blue: The color you get when you hold your breathe until a RAT is re-elected again.
Red: The color of blood lost by patriotic Americans in support of Freedom.
To: Momaw Nadon
here's the trend shown graphically...
along with the recent Beltway Boys tallies...
| Bush |
(tradesports) |
(BeltwayBoys) |
| Kerry |
(tradesports) |
(BeltwayBoys) |
To: Momaw Nadon
Looks like the only changes from 2000 are Pennsylvania and New Mexico (going from Dem to Bush). That and the re-distribution of EV from 2000 represents the difference.
Long way to go until November 2nd. Keep your eye on PA, NJ, WI, OR, and of course (FloriDUH).
17
posted on
05/03/2004 10:18:22 AM PDT
by
PetroniDE
(A.N.S.W.E.R and IndyMedia -- AMERICA'S FIFTH COLUMN !!!)
To: Momaw Nadon
Do you happen to have a table of the projected electoral vote totals by week? I would like to see how they are trending.
To: Momaw Nadon
Bush has lost 10 EVs since last week. :(
19
posted on
05/03/2004 10:22:31 AM PDT
by
Recovering_Democrat
(I'm so glad to no longer be associated with the Party of Dependence on Government!)
To: Momaw Nadon
Please scratch that request since it was posted in post #16.
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-20, 21-39 next last
Disclaimer:
Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual
posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its
management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the
exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson
