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To: uncbob
"Morris is all over the political landscape and changes his tune weekly"
I keep hearing that attitude towards him on FR, but I don't find it true at all. His tune all along has been that Kerry is too Liberal for America, but Bush can still lose if he fails to educate americans of that fact. He was the number 1 proponent of Bush going negative against Kerry. And now it looks like he was right.
10 posted on 03/23/2004 5:54:57 PM PST by Betaille ("Show them no mercy, for none shall be shown to you")
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To: Betaille
I keep hearing that attitude towards him on FR, but I don't find it true at all. His tune all along has been that Kerry is too Liberal for America, but Bush can still lose if he fails to educate americans of that fact. He was the number 1 proponent of Bush going negative against Kerry. And now it looks like he was right.

Absolutely right. A careful reading of what Morris is saying would show he's giving stage directions to the Bush campaign on how to get out there and define Kerry early. Team Bush may have planned that all along, but when they delivered, it worked. Meanwhile, Morris keeps us informed about the campaign dynamics. He's honest enough not to pander and insightful enough to our interest up.

22 posted on 03/23/2004 6:09:21 PM PST by OESY
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To: Betaille
THE HILL-Jan.20, Morris said Bush must pullout troops from Iraq or he won't get re-elected. I just don't agree with that. Casualty rate has much more to do with voters.

He was right about Edwards being a stronger candidate than Kerry, IMO. However, even Edwards can't carry the South. When Edwards rushed home to DC to vote in favor of AW Ban extension, his goose was cooked.

Morris seems to vacillate on occasion, but I do enjoy his commentary and his stories on Klinton-"the early years," are a riot!

27 posted on 03/23/2004 6:23:19 PM PST by donozark
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To: Betaille
"I keep hearing that attitude towards him on FR, but I don't find it true at all. His tune all along has been that Kerry is too Liberal for America, but Bush can still lose if he fails to educate americans of that fact. He was the number 1 proponent of Bush going negative against Kerry. And now it looks like he was right."

Sorry, but I can't help it.

Look what Dickie is saying today.

"Dubya In Trouble
By Dick Morris

Both of the polling organizations that track the presidential race in daily surveys have concluded that the contest has settled into a stalemate. Scott Rasmussen reports that for eight of the last nine days, President Bush has gotten 45 to 46 percent of the vote, while Sen. John Kerry ranged from 44 to 46 percent. John Zogby shows Kerry ahead by three and reports little movement either way.

This "tie" is terrible news for the Bush camp.

One of the (very few) immutable laws of politics is that the undecided vote almost always goes against the incumbent. Consider the past seven presidential elections in which an incumbent ran (1964, '72, '76, '80, '84, '92, and '96) - that is, look at the final vote versus the last Gallup or Harris polls. My analysis shows that the challengers (Goldwater, McGovern, Carter, Reagan, Mondale, Perot, Clinton, and Dole) got 85 percent of the undecided vote. Even incumbents who won got only 15 percent of those who reported that they were undecided in the final polls.

So . . . when Bush and Kerry are tied, the challenger really has the upper hand.

More bad news for Bush: Democrats usually grow 2-3 points right before Election Day as downscale voters who have not paid much attention to the election, suddenly tune in and "come home" to their traditional Democratic Party moorings. Remember, virtually every poll (except Zogby) showed Bush slightly ahead of Al Gore as the 2000 election approached - yet Gore outpolled Bush by 500,000 votes.




Now maybe you know why we say he changes his tune on a regular basis ;)

Qwinn
48 posted on 05/03/2004 8:10:55 PM PDT by Qwinn
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